Main prediction: Nacional da Madeira to win the clash

Alternative tip: double chance Nacional da Madeira

Other market: over 10.5 corners

Alverca need a result. Now, the task is against Nacional da Madeira, this 12/09 (Saturday), at Estádio da Madeira (Choupana), at 15:30.

Alverca take to the pitch with 3 defeats in their last 5 across all competitions. Nacional da Madeira are the favourites with a 35.21% probability of winning on the betting platforms.

Check where to watch the match, probable line-ups and the best prediction for Nacional da Madeira vs Alverca in the Liga Portugal 2026/27.

Prediction for Nacional da Madeira vs Alverca

APWin Prediction

BTTS - Yes

Overview Nacional da Madeira vs Alverca

Nacional da Madeira are favourites, with a 35.21% chance of winning according to the bookmakers. The odds for a Futebol Clube de Alverca win are at 2.87 and a draw at 3.53.

In the Liga Portugal, Nacional da Madeira have 1 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 3 defeat(s), with 6 goal(s) scored and 8 conceded, having Igor Matheus Liziero Pereira as top scorer with 1 goal(s). Meanwhile, Alverca have 0 win(s), 2 draw(s) and 3 defeat(s), with 5 goal(s) scored and 10 conceded, and Vivaldo Leandro Semedo Moura Sousa as top scorer with 2 goal(s).

Head-to-head between Nacional da Madeira and Alverca

The two teams have only 2 clash(es) in their recent history. The record is:

Nacional da Madeira: 1 win(s)

Alverca: 1 win(s)

Draws: 0

The most recent clash was on 18/04/2026, in the Liga Portugal. The score was: Nacional da Madeira 1-0 Alverca.

With so few matches between them, each team's current form weighs more than the head-to-head record when defining the predictions for Nacional da Madeira vs Alverca.

Check out all the predictions for the Liga Portugal and see all the analysis before you bet.

Nacional da Madeira: current form

Nacional da Madeira are going through a difficult patch: 3 defeats in their last 5 matches across all competitions. A positive result here would be important to restore confidence.

See the numbers in the Portuguese League 2026/27:

1 win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 defeat(s)

Performance: 0.8 point(s) per match

6 goals scored (1.2 per match)

Top scorer: Igor Matheus Liziero Pereira (1 goal(s))

Alverca: current form

Meanwhile, Alverca are going through a difficult patch: 3 defeats in their last 5 matches across all competitions. The opponents need to respond.

See their specific numbers in the Portuguese League:

0 win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 defeat(s)

Performance: 0.4 point(s) per match

5 goals scored (1 per match)

Top scorer: Vivaldo Leandro Semedo Moura Sousa (2 goal(s))

Nacional da Madeira vs Alverca key players

In the Liga Portugal, Igor Matheus Liziero Pereira carries Clube Desportivo Nacional's attack with 1 goal(s).

The playmaker is Williams Kokolo, leading in assists with 1. In the whole season, Jesús Ramírez has 18 goal(s).

On the other side, Vivaldo Leandro Semedo Moura Sousa is the name that frightens the most for Os Ribatejanos with 2 goal(s) in the Liga Portugal.

In terms of playmaking, Isaac James leads in assists with 2. In the whole season, Marko Milovanović has accumulated 9 goal(s).

Nacional da Madeira vs Alverca statistics in the Liga Portugal

Nacional da Madeira have an average of 9 corners and 1.6 cards per match. Meanwhile, Alverca have 8.6 corners and 2.6 cards. See the numbers for Nacional da Madeira vs Alverca in the table below.

Home Team

Nacional da Madeira Team Logo

Nacional da Madeira

Portugal - Liga Bwin

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L L L W D

0.8

Home L W W L W

1.8

Away L L D L W

0.8

Away Team

Alverca Team Logo

Alverca

Portugal - Liga Bwin

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L D L D L

0.4

Home L D D D W

1.2

Away L L L L L

0

More tips for Nacional da Madeira vs Alverca

In addition to the main prediction, see other betting markets for Nacional da Madeira vs Alverca in the Liga Portugal:

👉 Our prediction is: Nacional da Madeira to win the 1st half

As the odds and the statistics clearly indicate, Nacional da Madeira is the superior side in this matchup. They play an aggressive attacking style that puts pressure on their opponents. We expect more or less the same gameplan at home against Alverca, which should result in a fast start.

That is why we are tipping Nacional da Madeira to win the first half in the half-time market.

👉 Our prediction is: Nacional da Madeira win or draw

Going on the Double Chance market is a great way to get a much better shot at winning a bet. And our betting tip of taking Nacional da Madeira or draw in the Double Chance market is about as close to a safe bet as there is.

Based on their impressive home form this season, it's hard to see Nacional da Madeira not picking up at least a point in their own stadium. They only need to avoid defeat to Alverca to win the Double Chance bet, and we think they are more than up to the task.

Correct score prediction for Nacional da Madeira vs Alverca

The favoritism in the odds points to Nacional da Madeira. With the available data, we project a narrow win. Correct result: Nacional da Madeira 1-0 Alverca. Predicting the exact score is difficult. The odds reflect this. Play with caution.

Where to watch Nacional da Madeira vs Alverca

Check out where to watch the live match between Alverca and Nacional da Madeira:

Broadcast: no broadcast scheduled

Predicted line-ups for Nacional da Madeira and Alverca

The line-ups for Nacional da Madeira vs Alverca in the Primeira Liga are officially confirmed between 45 minutes and 1 hour before the match, via the referee's official team sheet and the clubs' social media channels.

Follow below who is expected to take to the pitch.

Clube Desportivo Nacional line-up

  • 1

    Renato Bellucci Marin

    Goalkeeper

  • 6

    Matheus Dias

    Midfielder

  • 7

    Markus Gustav Jensen

    Forward

  • 8

    Miguel Baeza Pérez

    Midfielder

  • 11

    Stavros Gavriel

    Forward

  • 21

    Williams Kokolo

    Midfielder

  • 33

    Francisco Gonçalves

    Defender

  • 34

    Leonardo Santos

    Defender

  • 38

    José Cardoso

    Defender

  • 52

    Wesley Andrade

    Defender

  • 99

    Pablo Cardozo

    Forward

The starting eleven is confirmed minutes before kick-off.

Futebol Clube de Alverca line-up

  • 4

    Yahya Bojang

    Defender

  • 9

    Vivaldo Sousa

    Forward

  • 10

    Francisco Oliveira

    Forward

  • 12

    Isaac James

    Defender

  • 14

    Steven Baseya

    Defender

  • 21

    Sergi Gómez

    Defender

  • 22

    Lucas Santos

    Forward

  • 25

    Ian Boetto

    Midfielder

  • 27

    Toni Tamarit Tamarit

    Defender

  • 31

    Matheus Mendes

    Goalkeeper

  • 35

    Rayan Souza

    Midfielder

The Alverca starting eleven is confirmed close to the initial whistle.

Match details for Nacional da Madeira vs Alverca

Match: Nacional da Madeira vs Alverca

Tournament: Primeira Liga 2026/27

Date: 12/09/2026

Time: 15:30 (Brasília time)

Venue: Estádio da Madeira (Choupana)

Broadcast: none scheduled

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Published on 9 September 2026, at 20:08 Last updated on 9 September 2026, at 20:08
Author: Gustavo Porto

Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.