APWin Prediction

2nd Half Over 1.5 Goals

Morelia Form and Insights

Morelia hosts Venados at the Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón for this Liga de Expansão MX fixture. The match will kick off at 01:00 (UK Time) on 15/02/2026.

Their performance in the Liga de Expansão MX so far:

  • 8 Wins

  • 8 Draws

  • 6 Losses

Offensive and defensive statistics:

  • 31 goals scored

  • 1.41 average goals per match

  • 26 goals conceded

  • 31 average goals conceded per match

Venados Form and Insights

Venados has played 22 matches in the Liga de Expansão MX so far this season.

Here’s how the team comes into their match with Morelia:

  • 7 Wins

  • 5 Draws

  • 8 Losses

Goals scored and conceded:

  • 44 goals scored

  • 2.2 average goals per match

  • 43 goals conceded

  • 44 average goals conceded per match

Head-to-Head Statistics

We have seen the match between Morelia and Venados on the match calendar 13 times across all competitions in the last couple of years.

  • Morelia win - 9

  • Venados win - 7

  • Draw - 5

Home Team

Morelia Team Logo

Morelia

Mexico - Ascenso MX

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D L W W D

1.6

Home L W D W D

1.6

Away D W D D W

1.8

Away Team

Venados Team Logo

Venados

Mexico - Ascenso MX

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W D L D L

1

Home W D D W W

2.2

Away L L L L W

0.6

Access all match stats for Morelia vs Venados

The last match was played on 05/09/2025 in the Liga de Expansão MX and ended in a 2–2 draw.

In the table below, you can find the head-to-head results of the last few meetings.

Players to Watch

APWin’s team of experts has compiled a list of insights to help you place informed bets on player props and goal-scoring markets.

Morelia Top Players

  • Ruben Del Campo has scored 8 goals so far this season.

  • Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores has given 5 assists this season.

Venados Top Players

  • Juan José Calero Sierra has scored 18 goals so far this season.

  • Waldo Madrid has given 7 assists this season.

Betting Insights for Cards and Corners

If you prefer betting on over/under markets for corners and cards, you can use the section below to find the statistics for this Morelia vs Venados match.

Morelia Cards and Corners

  • 3.41 average cards per match

  • 1.73 average cards when playing at home

  • 9.18 average corners per match

  • 9.63 average corners when playing at home

Venados Cards and Corners

  • 2.55 average cards per match

  • 2.89 average cards when playing away

  • 10.2 average corners per match

  • 10.45 average corners when playing away

Additional Betting Tips

After thorough analysis of the past data, our team of experts has come up with additional predictions for the match.

Keep in mind that the prediction on the top of the page is our main tip. In case you are looking for more value picks, you can use our additional predictions below.

👉 Our prediction is: Morelia to win

Morelia to win is our top betting tip for this upcoming match against Venados. Morelia's odds in the online betting sites have them heavily favoured at home, where they have been quite strong all season.

And our expert analysts fancy their chances as well given their current form and overall statistics.

Match Details

  • Match date: 15/02/2026

  • Kick-off time: 01:00

  • Competition: Liga de Expansão MX

  • Game week: 6

  • Stadium: Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón

How APWin Makes Its Predictions

Our football predictions are written using a structured analysis of factors that impact match outcomes. We combine long-term performance with the latest team news and real-time market signals to write our predictions.

Here's what we take into account:

  • Historical match data

  • Home and away performance trends

  • Recent form, squad news, and team dynamics

  • Betting market odds and line movement analysis

APWin Prediction

2nd Half Over 1.5 Goals

Published on 15 February 2026, at 09:33 Last updated on 21 April 2026, at 20:03
Author: Amauri Barbosa

I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.