The kick off for the match between Morelia and Tlaxcala will take place at 02:00 (UK time) - Sunday, 04/12 - at the Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga de Expansão MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Morelia vs Tlaxcala. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Morelia vs Tlaxcala
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Over 2.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Morelia Preview
Morelia has played 30 matches in the Liga de Expansão MX so far, with 13 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses. This results in an average of 1.57 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 13 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses. Morelia's attack has scored 42 goals, 42 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.4 goals per league match and 1.4 goals per match across the entire season.
Ruben Del Campo is the team’s top scorer with 11 goals, while Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores leads the team in assists with 6. Defensively, Morelia has conceded 35 goals in the league (an average of 1.17) and 35 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.17 over 30 matches).
Tlaxcala preview
In 26 Liga de Expansão MX matches, Tlaxcala has recorded 8 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.23 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 8 wins in 26 matches. The team has scored 28 goals, 28 of them in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 1.08 goals per match), with Christian Henrique Oliveira Silva being the team's top scorer with 6 goals and Christian Henrique Oliveira Silva providing 4 assists.
Defensively, Tlaxcala has conceded 42 goals in the league and 42 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.62 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Morelia vs Tlaxcala
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Morelia
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W L W L |
1.2 |
| Home | W W W W L |
2.4 |
| Away | L L L W D |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 43% | 60% | 27% |
| Goals | 2.57 | 2.4 | 2.73 |
| Scored | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Conceded | 1.17 | 0.8 | 1.53 |
| Both Teams to Score | 47% | 40% | 53% |
| Without Conceding | 37% | 47% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 53% | 47% |
|
xG
|
1.57 | 1.84 | 1.3 |
|
xGA
|
1.33 | 1.07 | 1.6 |
Tlaxcala
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W D D L |
1 |
| Home | W D W W W |
2.6 |
| Away | L D L D L |
0.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 31% | 54% | 8% |
| Goals | 2.69 | 2.54 | 2.85 |
| Scored | 1.08 | 1.54 | 0.62 |
| Conceded | 1.62 | 1 | 2.23 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 54% | 46% |
| Without Conceding | 23% | 31% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 15% | 54% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 69% | 15% |
|
xG
|
1.53 | 1.72 | 1.33 |
|
xGA
|
1.45 | 1.49 | 1.41 |
Access all match stats for Morelia vs Tlaxcala
Where to watch Morelia vs Tlaxcala live?
Check out the live stream of Morelia vs Tlaxcala below and follow the match in real time.
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