The kick off for the match between Morelia and Tapatío will take place at 02:00 (UK time) - Sunday, 10/12 - at the Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga de Expansão MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Morelia vs Tapatío. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Morelia vs Tapatío
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
HT/FT - X/X
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Morelia preview
Morelia has played 9 matches in the Liga de Expansão MX so far, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. This results in an average of 1.22 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. Morelia's attack has scored 13 goals, 13 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.44 goals per league match and 1.44 goals per match across the entire season.
José Alonso Flores Ramírez is the team’s top scorer with 5 goals, while Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores leads the team in assists with 4. Defensively, Morelia has conceded 18 goals in the league (an average of 2) and 18 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 2 over 9 matches).
Tapatío preview
In 10 Liga de Expansão MX matches, Tapatío has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.1 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 3 wins in 10 matches. The team has scored 13 goals, 13 of them in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 1.3 goals per match), with Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo being the team's top scorer with 4 goals and Leonardo Sebastián Jiménez Quintero providing 2 assists.
Defensively, Tapatío has conceded 12 goals in the league and 12 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Morelia vs Tapatío
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Morelia
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L L W D |
1.22 |
| Home | L W W W |
2.25 |
| Away | L L D L D |
0.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 75% | 0% |
| Goals | 3.44 | 3 | 3.8 |
| Scored | 1.44 | 2 | 1 |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 2.8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| 1st to Score | 56% | 75% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.61 | 1.78 | 1.47 |
|
xGA
|
1.38 | 1.27 | 1.47 |
Away Team
Tapatío
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L D L L |
1.1 |
| Home | L D W L W |
1.4 |
| Away | L L L D W |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.5 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
| Scored | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Without Conceding | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| 1st to Score | 56% | 60% | 40% |
|
xG
|
1.5 | 1.7 | 1.26 |
|
xGA
|
1.74 | 1.62 | 1.88 |
Access all match stats for Morelia vs Tapatío
Where to watch Morelia vs Tapatío live?
Check out the live stream of Morelia vs Tapatío below and follow the match in real time.
