Morelia and Leones Negros face each other on Sunday 09.20.2026, at 02:00 (UK Time), in a Liga de Expansão MX 2026/27 match. The game will take place at Morelia's home ground, the Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Morelia and Leones Negros, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Morelia vs Leones Negros
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
BTTS - Yes
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Morelia preview
Morelia heads into the match with the following record in the Liga de Expansão MX: in 8 matches, Morelia secured 6 victories, 0 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 2.25 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Morelia's 2026/27 season, the team has achieved a total of 20 victories so far.
Morelia has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 61 goals, of which 17 were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, resulting in an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Ruben Del Campo, who has found the back of the net 12 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, Morelia has conceded 9 goals in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 1.13 per game) and 48 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.14 per match in the 2026/27 campaign.
Leones Negros preview
Leones Negros comes into the game with 8 matches played so far in the Liga de Expansão MX. They have secured 5 victories, 2 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 2.13 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2026/27 season, the team has recorded 14 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses.
Leones Negros's attack has been highly effective, scoring 55 goals during this period. Of that total, 19 were netted in the Liga de Expansão MX, with an average of 2.38 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.45.
Leones Negros's offensive system is led by Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago, the team's top scorer this season. The mexican midfielder has found the back of the net 9 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Alejandro de Jesús Bravo Santiago. The midfielder has contributed with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 10 goals with an average of 1.25 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 56 goals in 38 matches, averaging 1.47 per match.
Head to head: Morelia vs Leones Negros
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Morelia
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W L W |
2.4 |
| Home | W L W W W |
2.4 |
| Away | W W W L L |
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Goals | 3.25 | 5 | 1.5 |
| Scored | 2.13 | 3.25 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.13 | 1.75 | 0.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 63% | 100% | 25% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 25% | 75% |
|
xG
|
1.72 | 1.93 | 1.51 |
|
xGA
|
1.16 | 1.05 | 1.27 |
Leones Negros
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W D W W |
2.2 |
| Home | D D W L L |
1 |
| Away | W W W W L |
2.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 63% | 25% | 100% |
| Goals | 3.63 | 3.5 | 3.75 |
| Scored | 2.38 | 2 | 2.75 |
| Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 100% | 100% |
|
xG
|
1.54 | 1.69 | 1.4 |
|
xGA
|
1.67 | 1.77 | 1.58 |
Access all match stats for Morelia vs Leones Negros
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Sports betting analyst with over ten years of experience in football analysis, match statistics and betting markets.