Morelia and Atlante face each other on Sunday 09.28.2025, at 02:00 (UK Time), in a Ascenso MX 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Morelia's home ground, the Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Morelia and Atlante, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Morelia vs Atlante
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Morelia preview
Morelia heads into the match with the following record in the Ascenso MX: in 7 matches, Morelia secured 3 victories, 2 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 1.57 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Morelia's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 3 victories so far.
Morelia has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 11 goals, of which 11 were scored in the Ascenso MX, resulting in an average of 1.57 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is José Alonso Flores Ramírez, who has found the back of the net 5 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Morelia has conceded 13 goals in the Ascenso MX (an average of 1.86 per game) and 13 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.86 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Atlante preview
Atlante comes into the game with 7 matches played so far in the Ascenso MX. They have secured 4 victories, 1 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 1.86 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses.
Atlante's attack has been highly effective, scoring 16 goals during this period. Of that total, 16 were netted in the Ascenso MX, with an average of 2.29 goals per game. The overall season average is 2.29.
Atlante's offensive system is led by Maximiliano García Pardo, the team's top scorer this season. The mexican forward has found the back of the net 4 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Javier Eduardo Ibarra De La Rosa. The midfielder has contributed with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 8 goals with an average of 1.14 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 8 goals in 7 matches, averaging 1.14 per match.
Head to head: Morelia vs Atlante
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Morelia
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W D W L |
1.57 |
| Home | W W W |
3 |
| Away | L D L D |
0.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 43% | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 3.43 | 3.33 | 3.5 |
| Scored | 1.57 | 2.67 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.86 | 0.67 | 2.75 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 57% | 100% | 25% |
|
xG
|
1.68 | 2.06 | 1.41 |
|
xGA
|
1.35 | 1.09 | 1.55 |
Away Team
Atlante
Mexico - Ascenso MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W L W |
1.86 |
| Home | W W W D |
2.5 |
| Away | W L L |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Goals | 3.43 | 3.25 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 2.29 | 2.75 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.14 | 0.5 | 2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 57% | 100% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.71 | 2.12 | 1.3 |
|
xGA
|
1.1 | 0.8 | 1.39 |
Access all match stats for Morelia vs Atlante
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