Montpellier and Troyes face each other on Saturday 04.04.2026, at 13:00 (UK Time), in a Ligue 2 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Montpellier's home ground, the Stade de la Mosson.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Montpellier Hérault Sport Club and Espérance Sportive Troyes Aube Champagne, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Montpellier vs Troyes
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Montpellier preview
Montpellier heads into the match with the following record in the Ligue 2: in 28 matches, Montpellier Hérault Sport Club secured 12 victories, 6 draws, and 10 losses, maintaining an average of 1.5 points per game.
Taking a broader look at La Paillade's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 16 victories so far.
Montpellier has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 44 goals, of which 33 were scored in the Ligue 2, resulting in an average of 1.18 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Alexandre Mendy, who has found the back of the net 10 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Nathanaël Mbuku has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, Montpellier has conceded 25 goals in the Ligue 2 (an average of 0.89 per game) and 28 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.85 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Troyes preview
Troyes comes into the game with 28 matches played so far in the Ligue 2. They have secured 17 victories, 6 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 2.04 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 21 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses.
Espérance Sportive Troyes Aube Champagne's attack has been highly effective, scoring 61 goals during this period. Of that total, 49 were netted in the Ligue 2, with an average of 1.75 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.85.
The Blue-and-Whites's offensive system is led by Tawfik Bentayeb, the team's top scorer this season. The moroccan forward has found the back of the net 13 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Martin Adeline. The midfielder has contributed with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 28 goals with an average of 1 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 33 goals in 33 matches, averaging 1 per match.
Head to head: Montpellier vs Troyes
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Montpellier
France - Ligue 2
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W W D L |
1.6 |
| Home | W D W W L |
2 |
| Away | D W L L L |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 43% | 50% | 36% |
| Goals | 2.07 | 2.64 | 1.5 |
| Scored | 1.18 | 1.57 | 0.79 |
| Conceded | 0.89 | 1.07 | 0.71 |
| Both Teams to Score | 36% | 50% | 21% |
| Without Conceding | 36% | 36% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 21% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 39% | 29% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.28 | 1.45 | 1.11 |
|
xGA
|
1.34 | 1.29 | 1.39 |
Troyes
France - Ligue 2
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W W |
3 |
| Home | W W W L L |
1.8 |
| Away | W W D L L |
1.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 61% | 80% | 38% |
| Goals | 2.75 | 3.47 | 1.92 |
| Scored | 1.75 | 2.33 | 1.08 |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.13 | 0.85 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 67% | 46% |
| Without Conceding | 32% | 27% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 7% | 38% |
| 1st to Score | 39% | 60% | 23% |
|
xG
|
1.61 | 1.86 | 1.33 |
|
xGA
|
1.12 | 1 | 1.26 |
Access all match stats for Montpellier vs Troyes
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