The kick off for the match between Middlesbrough and Derby County will take place at 15:00 (UK time) - Saturday, 11/29 - at the Riverside Stadium. This clash of the 2025/26 Championship looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Middlesbrough vs Derby County. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Middlesbrough vs Derby County
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Under 2.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Middlesbrough preview
Middlesbrough has played 17 matches in the Championship so far, with 8 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses. This results in an average of 1.76 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses. Middlesbrough's attack has scored 22 goals, 22 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.29 goals per league match and 1.22 goals per match across the entire season.
Finn Azaz is the team’s top scorer with 5 goals, while Callum Brittain leads the team in assists with 4. Defensively, Middlesbrough has conceded 18 goals in the league (an average of 1.06) and 22 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.22 over 18 matches).
Derby County preview
In 17 Championship matches, Derby County has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.53 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 7 wins in 19 matches. The team has scored 26 goals, 24 of them in the Championship (an average of 1.41 goals per match), with Carlton Morris being the team's top scorer with 10 goals and Joe Ward providing 4 assists.
Defensively, Derby County has conceded 23 goals in the league and 26 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.37 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Middlesbrough vs Derby County
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Middlesbrough
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L D W D L |
1.76 |
| Home | L W D W D |
2.13 |
| Away | D D L W L |
1.44 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 47% | 63% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.35 | 2.38 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.29 | 1.38 | 1.22 |
| Conceded | 1.06 | 1 | 1.11 |
| Both Teams to Score | 59% | 63% | 56% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 38% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 13% | 22% |
| 1st to Score | 47% | 63% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.44 | 1.35 | 1.51 |
|
xGA
|
1.22 | 1.41 | 1.05 |
Derby County
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W W W |
1.53 |
| Home | L W W W D |
1.33 |
| Away | W W W L D |
1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 41% | 33% | 50% |
| Goals | 2.76 | 2.78 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.41 | 1.33 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.35 | 1.44 | 1.25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Without Conceding | 18% | 22% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 11% | 13% |
| 1st to Score | 47% | 44% | 63% |
|
xG
|
1.06 | 1.18 | 0.92 |
|
xGA
|
1.51 | 1.38 | 1.66 |
Access all match stats for Middlesbrough vs Derby County
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Journalist, a football lover and sports betting expert for over 7 years. In addition to being a bet world aficionado, Amauri also practices athletics, and as all good Brazilian, does not refuse a brew.