Melbourne City and Wellington Phoenix face each other on Sunday 04.12.2026, at 06:00 (UK Time), in a A-League 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Melbourne City's home ground, the AAMI Park (Melbourne Rectangular Stadium).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Melbourne City Football Club and Wellington Phoenix Football Club, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Double Chance: Home or Away
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Melbourne City preview
Melbourne City heads into the match with the following record in the A-League: in 23 matches, Melbourne City Football Club secured 8 victories, 8 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 1.39 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Sky Blues's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 13 victories so far.
Melbourne City has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 39 goals, of which 27 were scored in the A-League, resulting in an average of 1.17 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Max Caputo, who has found the back of the net 8 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Andreas Kuen has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Melbourne City has conceded 29 goals in the A-League (an average of 1.26 per game) and 37 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.09 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Wellington Phoenix preview
Wellington Phoenix comes into the game with 23 matches played so far in the A-League. They have secured 8 victories, 6 draws, and 9 losses, maintaining an average of 1.3 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses.
Wellington Phoenix Football Club's attack has been highly effective, scoring 34 goals during this period. Of that total, 34 were netted in the A-League, with an average of 1.48 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.42.
The Nix's offensive system is led by Eze Kelvin, the team's top scorer this season. The libyan midfielder has found the back of the net 9 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Kazuki Nagasawa. The midfielder has contributed with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 41 goals with an average of 1.78 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 43 goals in 24 matches, averaging 1.79 per match.
Head to head: Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Melbourne City
Australia - A-League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W D W D |
2.2 |
| Home | W W D L D |
1.6 |
| Away | D W D L W |
1.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 35% | 45% | 25% |
| Goals | 2.43 | 2.36 | 2.5 |
| Scored | 1.17 | 1.36 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.26 | 1 | 1.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 48% | 45% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 39% | 36% | 42% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 27% | 25% |
| 1st to Score | 43% | 45% | 42% |
|
xG
|
1.53 | 1.68 | 1.39 |
|
xGA
|
1.35 | 1.23 | 1.46 |
Wellington Phoenix
Australia - A-League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W D L |
2 |
| Home | W L L L D |
0.8 |
| Away | W W D D L |
1.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 35% | 33% | 36% |
| Goals | 3.26 | 3.25 | 3.27 |
| Scored | 1.48 | 1.42 | 1.55 |
| Conceded | 1.78 | 1.83 | 1.73 |
| Both Teams to Score | 70% | 67% | 73% |
| Without Conceding | 17% | 8% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 43% | 33% | 45% |
|
xG
|
1.45 | 1.51 | 1.37 |
|
xGA
|
1.46 | 1.18 | 1.77 |
Access all match stats for Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.