Marathón and Olimpia face each other on Saturday 05.16.2026, at 03:15 (UK Time), in a Liga Nacional de Honduras 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Marathón's home ground, the Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Marathón and Olimpia, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Marathón vs Olimpia
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
APWin Prediction
APWin Prediction
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Marathón preview
Marathón heads into the match with the following record in the Liga Nacional de Honduras: in 48 matches, Marathón secured 23 victories, 14 draws, and 11 losses, maintaining an average of 1.73 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Marathón's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 23 victories so far.
Marathón has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 77 goals, of which 77 were scored in the Liga Nacional de Honduras, resulting in an average of 1.6 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Nicolás Ariel Messiniti, who has found the back of the net 19 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Alexy Vega has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, Marathón has conceded 42 goals in the Liga Nacional de Honduras (an average of 0.88 per game) and 42 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.88 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Olimpia preview
Olimpia comes into the game with 47 matches played so far in the Liga Nacional de Honduras. They have secured 29 victories, 11 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 2.09 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 29 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses.
Olimpia's attack has been highly effective, scoring 89 goals during this period. Of that total, 89 were netted in the Liga Nacional de Honduras, with an average of 1.89 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.89.
Olimpia's offensive system is led by Justin Arboleda Buenaños, the team's top scorer this season. The colombian forward has found the back of the net 8 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Jorge Daniel Alvarez Rodas. The midfielder has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 50 goals with an average of 1.06 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 50 goals in 47 matches, averaging 1.06 per match.
Head to head: Marathón vs Olimpia
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Marathón
Honduras - Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W L L W |
1.2 |
| Home | W L L W W |
1.8 |
| Away | L L W L L |
0.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 48% | 67% | 29% |
| Goals | 2.48 | 2.29 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.6 | 1.67 | 1.54 |
| Conceded | 0.88 | 0.63 | 1.13 |
| Both Teams to Score | 40% | 29% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 46% | 58% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 17% | 25% |
| 1st to Score | 56% | 67% | 46% |
|
xG
|
1.52 | 1.7 | 1.38 |
|
xGA
|
1.21 | 1.06 | 1.32 |
Olimpia
Honduras - Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W W L |
1.8 |
| Home | W W W W W |
3 |
| Away | L L W W W |
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 62% | 70% | 54% |
| Goals | 2.96 | 2.65 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.89 | 1.87 | 1.92 |
| Conceded | 1.06 | 0.78 | 1.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 48% | 63% |
| Without Conceding | 40% | 48% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 13% | 8% |
| 1st to Score | 56% | 78% | 67% |
|
xG
|
1.6 | 1.88 | 1.32 |
|
xGA
|
1.35 | 1.41 | 1.28 |
Access all match stats for Marathón vs Olimpia
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.