Manchester City and Chelsea face each other in an official match of the 2025/26 Premier League season. The game takes place at Etihad Stadium on Sunday, 04/01/2026, at 17:30 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for Manchester City vs Chelsea, based on detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

APWin predictions for Manchester City vs Chelsea

The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analyzed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:

APWin Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

APWin experts have analyzed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.

👉 Our prediction is: Under 2.5 goals in the match

Based on our analysis, Manchester City vs Chelsea looks like going to fall safely under 2.5 goals.

The statistics point to the match being more of a defensive struggle, with the two teams more likely to play cautiously than they are to go out and attack.

👉 Our prediction is: Manchester City win or draw

The match is an evenly balanced affair with very little difference between the two sides. But the added benefit of home advantage is enough to tilt the scales in Manchester City's favour.

We recommend betting on Manchester City to win or draw on the Double Chance market. Since they will be playing in front of their home fans, that should give them that extra boost they need to avoid defeat, which is the only condition to win the bet.

Manchester City preview

Manchester City comes into the match having played 19 games in the Premier League so far. They have recorded 13 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 2.16 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 20 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses.

Manchester City's attack has scored 62 goals during this period. Out of this total, 43 goals were scored in the Premier League, averaging 2.26 goals per match. The season's average stands at 2.21.

The offense system of Manchester City is led by Erling Haaland as the top scorer of the season. The norwegian forward has scored 19 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Ryan Cherki, who has contributed with 7 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 17 goals with an average of 0.89 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 24 goals conceded in 28 matches, resulting in an average of 0.86.

Chelsea preview

On the other hand, Chelsea comes into the match having played 19 games in the Premier League so far. They have recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.58 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 14 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses.

Chelsea's attack has scored 54 goals during this period. Out of this total, 32 goals were scored in the Premier League, averaging 1.68 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.93.

The offense system of Chelsea is led by João Pedro as the top scorer of the season. The brazilian forward has scored 6 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Reece James, who has contributed with 4 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 21 goals with an average of 1.11 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 34 goals conceded in 28 matches, resulting in an average of 1.21.

Head to head: Manchester City vs Chelsea

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Manchester City Team Logo

Manchester City

England - Premier League

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D W W W W

2.16

Home W W W W W

2.67

Away D W W W L

1.7

Away Team

Chelsea Team Logo

Chelsea

England - Premier League

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D L D W D

1.58

Home D L W D W

1.5

Away D D L W W

1.67

Access all match stats for Manchester City vs Chelsea

Where to watch Manchester City vs Chelsea live?

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Published on 2 January 2026, at 03:58 Last updated on 2 January 2026, at 03:58
Author: Amauri Barbosa

Journalist, a football lover and sports betting expert for over 7 years. In addition to being a bet world aficionado, Amauri also practices athletics, and as all good Brazilian, does not refuse a brew.