Lexington and Sacramento Republic face each other on Friday 10.17.2025, at 23:00 (UK Time), in a USL Championship 2025 match. The game will take place at Lexington's home ground, the .
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Lexington and Sacramento Republic, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Lexington vs Sacramento Republic
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Under 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Lexington preview
Lexington heads into the match with the following record in the USL Championship: in 28 matches, Lexington secured 9 victories, 8 draws, and 11 losses, maintaining an average of 1.25 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Lexington's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 9 victories so far.
Lexington has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 29 goals, of which 29 were scored in the USL Championship, resulting in an average of 1.04 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Forster Ajago, who has found the back of the net 6 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Eliot Goldthorp has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, Lexington has conceded 37 goals in the USL Championship (an average of 1.32 per game) and 37 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.32 per match in the 2025 campaign.
Sacramento Republic preview
Sacramento Republic comes into the game with 27 matches played so far in the USL Championship. They have secured 12 victories, 8 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 1.63 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 12 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses.
Sacramento Republic's attack has been highly effective, scoring 41 goals during this period. Of that total, 41 were netted in the USL Championship, with an average of 1.52 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.52.
Sacramento Republic's offensive system is led by Russell Cicerone, the team's top scorer this season. The american forward has found the back of the net 7 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Rodrigo López Alvarez. The midfielder has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 24 goals with an average of 0.89 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 24 goals in 27 matches, averaging 0.89 per match.
Head to head: Lexington vs Sacramento Republic
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Lexington
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L L W D |
1.25 |
| Home | L D W W W |
1.64 |
| Away | L L W L W |
0.86 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 32% | 43% | 21% |
| Goals | 2.36 | 2.29 | 2.43 |
| Scored | 1.04 | 1.29 | 0.79 |
| Conceded | 1.32 | 1 | 1.64 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 64% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 21% | 29% |
| 1st to Score | 39% | 43% | 36% |
|
xG
|
1.25 | 1.43 | 1.05 |
|
xGA
|
1.17 | 0.93 | 1.42 |
Away Team
Sacramento Republic
USA - USL Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W L W D |
1.63 |
| Home | W D D W D |
1.69 |
| Away | L L W W W |
1.57 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 44% | 38% | 50% |
| Goals | 2.41 | 2.62 | 2.21 |
| Scored | 1.52 | 1.69 | 1.36 |
| Conceded | 0.89 | 0.92 | 0.86 |
| Both Teams to Score | 41% | 54% | 29% |
| Without Conceding | 41% | 38% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 23% | 29% |
| 1st to Score | 39% | 62% | 57% |
|
xG
|
1.27 | 1.35 | 1.2 |
|
xGA
|
1.06 | 1.01 | 1.12 |
Access all match stats for Lexington vs Sacramento Republic
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