León and Toluca face each other on Sunday 10.05.2025, at 02:00 (UK Time), in a Liga MX 2025/26 match. The game will take place at León's home ground, the .
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between León and Toluca, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for León vs Toluca
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
2nd Half Under 1.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
León preview
León heads into the match with the following record in the Liga MX: in 11 matches, Los Panzas Verdes secured 3 victories, 3 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.09 points per game.
Taking a broader look at León's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 3 victories so far.
León has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 10 goals, of which 10 were scored in the Liga MX, resulting in an average of 0.91 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Ismael Díaz, who has found the back of the net 5 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Salvador Reyes Chávez has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 1 assists.
On the defensive side, León has conceded 18 goals in the Liga MX (an average of 1.64 per game) and 18 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.64 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Toluca preview
Toluca comes into the game with 11 matches played so far in the Liga MX. They have secured 8 victories, 1 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 2.27 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 8 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses.
Diablos Rojos's attack has been highly effective, scoring 31 goals during this period. Of that total, 31 were netted in the Liga MX, with an average of 2.82 goals per game. The overall season average is 2.82.
Los Auriazules's offensive system is led by José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior, the team's top scorer this season. The portuguese forward has found the back of the net 7 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas. The forward has contributed with 8 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 14 goals with an average of 1.27 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 14 goals in 11 matches, averaging 1.27 per match.
Head to head: León vs Toluca
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
León
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L D L D W |
1.09 |
| Home | D W D L W |
1.33 |
| Away | L L D W L |
0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Goals | 2.55 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| Scored | 0.91 | 1.33 | 0.4 |
| Conceded | 1.64 | 1.17 | 2.2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 36% | 50% | 20% |
| Without Conceding | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 17% | 60% |
| 1st to Score | 36% | 50% | 20% |
|
xG
|
1.22 | 1.29 | 1.14 |
|
xGA
|
1.85 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
Away Team
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W W |
2.27 |
| Home | W W W D L |
2.17 |
| Away | W W L W W |
2.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| Goals | 4.09 | 4.83 | 3.2 |
| Scored | 2.82 | 3.17 | 2.4 |
| Conceded | 1.27 | 1.67 | 0.8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 73% | 100% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 18% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| 1st to Score | 36% | 50% | 60% |
|
xG
|
1.87 | 2.18 | 1.41 |
|
xGA
|
1.23 | 1.19 | 1.3 |
Access all match stats for León vs Toluca
Where to watch León vs Toluca live?
Check out the live stream of León vs Toluca below and follow the match in real time.
