Leicester and Derby County face each other on Monday 12.29.2025, at 19:45 (UK Time), in a Championship 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Leicester's home ground, the King Power Stadium.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Leicester and Derby County, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Leicester vs Derby County
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Leicester Win
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Leicester preview
Leicester heads into the match with the following record in the Championship: in 22 matches, Leicester City secured 8 victories, 7 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 1.41 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Leicester's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 16 victories so far.
Leicester has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 79 goals, of which 31 were scored in the Championship, resulting in an average of 1.41 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Jamie Vardy, who has found the back of the net 9 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Issahaku Abdul Fatawu has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, Leicester has conceded 31 goals in the Championship (an average of 1.41 per game) and 122 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.85 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Derby County preview
Derby County comes into the game with 22 matches played so far in the Championship. They have secured 8 victories, 7 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 1.41 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 22 wins, 21 draws, and 30 losses.
The Rams's attack has been highly effective, scoring 84 goals during this period. Of that total, 31 were netted in the Championship, with an average of 1.41 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.15.
The Rams's offensive system is led by Jerry Yates, the team's top scorer this season. The english forward has found the back of the net 10 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Joe Ward. The forward has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 30 goals with an average of 1.36 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 91 goals in 73 matches, averaging 1.25 per match.
Head to head: Leicester vs Derby County
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Leicester
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L W D W |
1.41 |
| Home | L W L W D |
1.6 |
| Away | L D W L W |
1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 40% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.82 | 2.5 | 3.08 |
| Scored | 1.41 | 1.4 | 1.42 |
| Conceded | 1.41 | 1.1 | 1.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 73% | 70% | 75% |
| Without Conceding | 14% | 20% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 20% | 17% |
| 1st to Score | 45% | 60% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.37 | 1.49 | 1.27 |
|
xGA
|
1.46 | 1.23 | 1.64 |
Derby County
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D W D L |
1.41 |
| Home | D D L L W |
1.17 |
| Away | D W L W W |
1.7 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 25% | 50% |
| Goals | 2.77 | 2.75 | 2.8 |
| Scored | 1.41 | 1.25 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 1.36 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Both Teams to Score | 73% | 75% | 70% |
| Without Conceding | 18% | 17% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 8% | 10% |
| 1st to Score | 45% | 33% | 70% |
|
xG
|
1.15 | 1.3 | 0.98 |
|
xGA
|
1.41 | 1.26 | 1.59 |
Access all match stats for Leicester vs Derby County
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Journalist since 2016, post-graduate during pandemic, and in love with football since child. Sporting was always part of the Gustavo's life, be practicing, watching, making the coverage, and a few years prae here, betting.