The kick off for the match between Leicester and Derby County will take place at 19:45 (UK time) - Monday, 12/29 - at the King Power Stadium. This clash of the 2025/26 Championship looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Leicester vs Derby County. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Leicester vs Derby County
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Leicester Win
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Leicester preview
Leicester has played 23 matches in the Championship so far, with 8 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses. This results in an average of 1.35 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 16 wins, 16 draws, and 35 losses. Leicester's attack has scored 80 goals, 32 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.39 goals per league match and 1.19 goals per match across the entire season.
Jamie Vardy is the team’s top scorer with 9 goals, while Issahaku Abdul Fatawu leads the team in assists with 6. Defensively, Leicester has conceded 33 goals in the league (an average of 1.43) and 124 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.85 over 67 matches).
Derby County preview
In 23 Championship matches, Derby County has recorded 8 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 1.39 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 22 wins in 74 matches. The team has scored 85 goals, 32 of them in the Championship (an average of 1.39 goals per match), with Jerry Yates being the team's top scorer with 10 goals and Joe Ward providing 5 assists.
Defensively, Derby County has conceded 31 goals in the league and 92 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.24 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Leicester vs Derby County
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Leicester
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L W D W |
1.35 |
| Home | L W L W D |
1.45 |
| Away | L D W L W |
1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 35% | 36% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.83 | 2.55 | 3.08 |
| Scored | 1.39 | 1.36 | 1.42 |
| Conceded | 1.43 | 1.18 | 1.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 74% | 73% | 75% |
| Without Conceding | 13% | 18% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 18% | 17% |
| 1st to Score | 48% | 64% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.36 | 1.46 | 1.27 |
|
xGA
|
1.45 | 1.24 | 1.64 |
Derby County
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D W D L |
1.39 |
| Home | D D L L W |
1.17 |
| Away | D W L W W |
1.64 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 35% | 25% | 45% |
| Goals | 2.74 | 2.75 | 2.73 |
| Scored | 1.39 | 1.25 | 1.55 |
| Conceded | 1.35 | 1.5 | 1.18 |
| Both Teams to Score | 74% | 75% | 73% |
| Without Conceding | 17% | 17% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 8% | 9% |
| 1st to Score | 48% | 33% | 73% |
|
xG
|
1.13 | 1.3 | 0.94 |
|
xGA
|
1.48 | 1.26 | 1.71 |
Access all match stats for Leicester vs Derby County
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I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.