The kick off for the match between Itabirito and Atlético-MG will take place at 22:00 (UK time) - Saturday, 02/14 - at the Estádio Coronel Afonso Moura de Castro. This clash of the 2026 A1 Mineiro looks very promising!

Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Itabirito vs Atlético-MG. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.

APWin predictions for Itabirito vs Atlético-MG

With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:

APWin Prediction

Correct Score: 0 - 1

After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.

👉 Our prediction is: Both teams don't score

It's hard to overlook the part that defence will play in this match. The capable defending of both sides will be tough for opposing offences, which is why it could be a low-scoring affair.

That overwhelming defence is also a great reason to go 'no' on the Both teams to score market.

👉 Our prediction is: Over 2.5 goals in the match

We strongly suggest taking the total to go over 2.5 goals in this matchup between Itabirito and Atlético-MG.

With the high quality of attacking talent on display coupled with the questionable defence of both teams, this bet has a great chance of hitting.

Itabirito preview

Itabirito has played 7 matches in the A1 Mineiro so far, with 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses. This results in an average of 1 points per match.

In the 2026 season, the team has recorded 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses. Itabirito's attack has scored 8 goals, 8 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.14 goals per league match and 1.14 goals per match across the entire season.

Romário Simões de Oliveira Santos is the team’s top scorer with 3 goals, while Matheus Galdino Silva leads the team in assists with 4. Defensively, Itabirito has conceded 10 goals in the league (an average of 1.43) and 10 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.43 over 7 matches).

Atlético-MG preview

In 7 A1 Mineiro matches, Atlético-MG has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with an average of 1.57 points per game.

In the 2026 season, the team has 2 wins in 9 matches. The team has scored 11 goals, 9 of them in the A1 Mineiro (an average of 1.29 goals per match), with Reinier Jesus being the team's top scorer with 3 goals and Gustavo Scarpa providing 2 assists.

Defensively, Atlético-MG has conceded 6 goals in the league and 9 in the 2026 season overall, resulting in an average of 1 goals conceded per match.

Head to head: Itabirito vs Atlético-MG

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Itabirito Team Logo

Itabirito

Brazil - Mineiro 1

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W L L W D

1

Home L D L

0.33

Away W L W L

1.5

Away Team

Atlético-MG Team Logo

Atlético-MG

Brazil - Mineiro 1

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall D W W D D

1.57

Home D W D D

1.5

Away W D D

1.67

Access all match stats for Itabirito vs Atlético-MG

Where to watch Itabirito vs Atlético-MG live?

Check out the live stream of Itabirito vs Atlético-MG below and follow the match in real time.

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Published on 11 February 2026, at 20:31 Last updated on 11 February 2026, at 20:31
Author: Amauri Barbosa

I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.