The kick off for the match between Guadalajara and Toluca will take place at 02:07 (UK time) - Sunday, 09/21 - at the Estadio AKRON. This clash of the 2025/26 Liga MX looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Guadalajara vs Toluca. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Guadalajara vs Toluca
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Over 2.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Guadalajara preview
Guadalajara has played 8 matches in the Liga MX so far, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. This results in an average of 1 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses. Guadalajara's attack has scored 11 goals, 11 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.38 goals per league match and 1.38 goals per match across the entire season.
Armando González Alba is the team’s top scorer with 4 goals, while Erick Gutiérrez leads the team in assists with 2. Defensively, Guadalajara has conceded 13 goals in the league (an average of 1.63) and 13 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.63 over 8 matches).
Toluca preview
In 8 Liga MX matches, Toluca has recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 2 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 7 wins in 10 matches. The team has scored 25 goals, 19 of them in the Liga MX (an average of 2.38 goals per match), with Helio Junio Nunes de Castro being the team's top scorer with 3 goals and Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas providing 4 assists.
Defensively, Toluca has conceded 11 goals in the league and 13 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.3 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Guadalajara vs Toluca
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Guadalajara
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W L D D |
1 |
| Home | D L L L W |
1 |
| Away | W D D L L |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Goals | 3 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.38 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.63 | 1.75 | 1.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 25% | 25% | 25% |
|
xG
|
1.6 | 1.55 | 1.66 |
|
xGA
|
1.12 | 1.28 | 0.97 |
Away Team
Toluca
Mexico - Liga MX
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W L L D |
2 |
| Home | W D D L L |
1.75 |
| Away | W L L W W |
2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Goals | 3.75 | 4.25 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 2.38 | 2.5 | 2.25 |
| Conceded | 1.38 | 1.75 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| 1st to Score | 25% | 50% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.77 | 2.14 | 1.41 |
|
xGA
|
1.16 | 1.03 | 1.3 |
Access all match stats for Guadalajara vs Toluca
Where to watch Guadalajara vs Toluca live?
Check out the live stream of Guadalajara vs Toluca below and follow the match in real time.
