Grêmio and Vasco da Gama face each other on Thursday 11.20.2025, at 00:30 (UK Time), in a Brazil Serie A 2025 match. The game will take place at Grêmio's home ground, the Estádio do Grêmio (Arena do Grêmio).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Grêmio and Vasco da Gama, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Over 2.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Grêmio preview
Grêmio heads into the match with the following record in the Brazil Serie A: in 33 matches, Grêmio secured 10 victories, 10 draws, and 13 losses, maintaining an average of 1.21 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Grêmio's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 23 victories so far.
Grêmio has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 84 goals, of which 35 were scored in the Brazil Serie A, resulting in an average of 1.06 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Carlos Vinícius, who has found the back of the net 8 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Edenilson has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, Grêmio has conceded 43 goals in the Brazil Serie A (an average of 1.3 per game) and 73 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.11 per match in the 2025 campaign.
Vasco da Gama preview
Vasco da Gama comes into the game with 33 matches played so far in the Brazil Serie A. They have secured 12 victories, 6 draws, and 15 losses, maintaining an average of 1.27 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 23 wins, 22 draws, and 26 losses.
Vasco's attack has been highly effective, scoring 95 goals during this period. Of that total, 50 were netted in the Brazil Serie A, with an average of 1.52 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.34.
Vasco's offensive system is led by Pablo Ezequiel Vegetti Pfaffen, the team's top scorer this season. The argentinian forward has found the back of the net 15 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Lucas Piton Crivellaro. The defender has contributed with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 49 goals with an average of 1.48 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 94 goals in 71 matches, averaging 1.32 per match.
Head to head: Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Grêmio
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D L L W L |
0.8 |
| Home | L W W W D |
2 |
| Away | D L L L D |
0.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 44% | 18% |
| Goals | 2.36 | 1.94 | 2.76 |
| Scored | 1.06 | 1.13 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.3 | 0.81 | 1.76 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 50% | 59% |
| Without Conceding | 15% | 25% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 31% | 35% |
| 1st to Score | 42% | 63% | 24% |
|
xG
|
1.25 | 1.42 | 1.09 |
|
xGA
|
1.64 | 1.38 | 1.89 |
Vasco
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L L W W |
1.2 |
| Home | L L W W W |
1.8 |
| Away | L W W L D |
1.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 36% | 41% | 31% |
| Goals | 3 | 2.88 | 3.13 |
| Scored | 1.52 | 1.53 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.48 | 1.35 | 1.63 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52% | 53% | 50% |
| Without Conceding | 21% | 24% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 29% | 31% |
| 1st to Score | 42% | 47% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.46 | 1.6 | 1.31 |
|
xGA
|
1.45 | 1.38 | 1.51 |
Access all match stats for Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama
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