Fluminense and São Paulo face each other on Thursday 11.27.2025, at 23:30 (UK Time), in a Brazil Serie A 2025 match. The game will take place at Fluminense's home ground, the Estádio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã).
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Fluminense and São Paulo, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Fluminense vs São Paulo
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Correct Score: 2 - 1
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Fluminense preview
Fluminense heads into the match with the following record in the Brazil Serie A: in 35 matches, Fluminense secured 16 victories, 7 draws, and 12 losses, maintaining an average of 1.57 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Fluminense's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 43 victories so far.
Fluminense has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 119 goals, of which 40 were scored in the Brazil Serie A, resulting in an average of 1.14 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Germán Cano, who has found the back of the net 6 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Jhon Arias has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Fluminense has conceded 38 goals in the Brazil Serie A (an average of 1.09 per game) and 68 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.81 per match in the 2025 campaign.
São Paulo preview
São Paulo comes into the game with 35 matches played so far in the Brazil Serie A. They have secured 13 victories, 9 draws, and 13 losses, maintaining an average of 1.37 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 30 wins, 21 draws, and 21 losses.
São Paulo's attack has been highly effective, scoring 87 goals during this period. Of that total, 40 were netted in the Brazil Serie A, with an average of 1.14 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.21.
São Paulo's offensive system is led by Luciano da Rocha Neves, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian forward has found the back of the net 8 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Enzo Hernán Díaz. The defender has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 40 goals with an average of 1.14 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 73 goals in 72 matches, averaging 1.01 per match.
Head to head: Fluminense vs São Paulo
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Fluminense
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W D W L |
1.57 |
| Home | W W W W W |
2.35 |
| Away | D D L L L |
0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 46% | 76% | 17% |
| Goals | 2.23 | 2 | 2.44 |
| Scored | 1.14 | 1.35 | 0.94 |
| Conceded | 1.09 | 0.65 | 1.5 |
| Both Teams to Score | 40% | 41% | 39% |
| Without Conceding | 40% | 47% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 12% | 44% |
| 1st to Score | 54% | 76% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.36 | 1.61 | 1.13 |
|
xGA
|
1.17 | 0.97 | 1.37 |
São Paulo
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L L D W |
1.37 |
| Home | W L D W L |
1.72 |
| Away | L W L L W |
1 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 37% | 50% | 24% |
| Goals | 2.29 | 2.28 | 2.29 |
| Scored | 1.14 | 1.33 | 0.94 |
| Conceded | 1.14 | 0.94 | 1.35 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 44% | 41% |
| Without Conceding | 31% | 39% | 24% |
| Failed To Score | 34% | 28% | 41% |
| 1st to Score | 54% | 61% | 35% |
|
xG
|
1.31 | 1.38 | 1.23 |
|
xGA
|
1.39 | 1.08 | 1.73 |
Access all match stats for Fluminense vs São Paulo
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Journalist, a football lover and sports betting expert for over 7 years. In addition to being a bet world aficionado, Amauri also practices athletics, and as all good Brazilian, does not refuse a brew.