The kick off for the match between Derby County and Watford will take place at 15:00 (UK time) - Saturday, 11/22 - at the Pride Park Stadium. This clash of the 2025/26 Championship looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Derby County vs Watford. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Derby County vs Watford
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Under 2.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Derby County preview
Derby County has played 15 matches in the Championship so far, with 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses. This results in an average of 1.53 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses. Derby County's attack has scored 22 goals, 20 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.33 goals per league match and 1.29 goals per match across the entire season.
Carlton Morris is the team’s top scorer with 10 goals, while Joe Ward leads the team in assists with 3. Defensively, Derby County has conceded 19 goals in the league (an average of 1.27) and 22 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.29 over 17 matches).
Watford preview
In 15 Championship matches, Watford has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.33 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 5 wins in 16 matches. The team has scored 20 goals, 19 of them in the Championship (an average of 1.27 goals per match), with Imran Louza being the team's top scorer with 6 goals and Imran Louza providing 3 assists.
Defensively, Watford has conceded 18 goals in the league and 20 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.25 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Derby County vs Watford
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Home Team
Derby County
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W W W W |
1.53 |
| Home | W W W D D |
1.5 |
| Away | W W L D W |
1.57 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 38% | 43% |
| Goals | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.71 |
| Scored | 1.33 | 1.25 | 1.43 |
| Conceded | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.29 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 63% | 71% |
| Without Conceding | 20% | 25% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| 1st to Score | 47% | 38% | 57% |
|
xG
|
1.03 | 1.19 | 0.84 |
|
xGA
|
1.52 | 1.37 | 1.71 |
Away Team
Watford
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D D W L W |
1.33 |
| Home | D W W W W |
2.13 |
| Away | D L L D L |
0.43 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 63% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.47 | 2.75 | 2.14 |
| Scored | 1.27 | 1.75 | 0.71 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 1 | 1.43 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 75% | 57% |
| Without Conceding | 7% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 13% | 43% |
| 1st to Score | 47% | 38% | 29% |
|
xG
|
1.48 | 1.74 | 1.17 |
|
xGA
|
1.47 | 1.44 | 1.49 |
Access all match stats for Derby County vs Watford
Where to watch Derby County vs Watford live?
Check out the live stream of Derby County vs Watford below and follow the match in real time.
