The kick off for the match between Derby County and Swansea City will take place at 15:00 (UK time) - Saturday, 02/14 - at the Pride Park Stadium. This clash of the 2025/26 Championship looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis including predictions for Derby County vs Swansea City. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Derby County vs Swansea City
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Under 2.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Derby County preview
Derby County has played 31 matches in the Championship so far, with 12 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses. This results in an average of 1.45 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 12 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses. Derby County's attack has scored 48 goals, 45 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.45 goals per league match and 1.41 goals per match across the entire season.
Carlton Morris is the team’s top scorer with 10 goals, while Joe Ward leads the team in assists with 6. Defensively, Derby County has conceded 39 goals in the league (an average of 1.26) and 45 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.32 over 34 matches).
Swansea City preview
In 31 Championship matches, Swansea City has recorded 12 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 1.35 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 14 wins in 36 matches. The team has scored 48 goals, 38 of them in the Championship (an average of 1.23 goals per match), with Žan Vipotnik being the team's top scorer with 15 goals and Josh Tymon providing 7 assists.
Defensively, Swansea City has conceded 37 goals in the league and 46 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.28 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Derby County vs Swansea City
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Derby County
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W D W W |
1.45 |
| Home | L D L W D |
1.13 |
| Away | W W W L D |
1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 39% | 25% | 53% |
| Goals | 2.71 | 2.63 | 2.8 |
| Scored | 1.45 | 1.19 | 1.73 |
| Conceded | 1.26 | 1.44 | 1.07 |
| Both Teams to Score | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Without Conceding | 23% | 19% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 6% | 7% |
| 1st to Score | 55% | 38% | 73% |
|
xG
|
1.18 | 1.24 | 1.11 |
|
xGA
|
1.43 | 1.32 | 1.54 |
Swansea City
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W L W D |
1.35 |
| Home | W W D W W |
1.75 |
| Away | W L L W L |
0.93 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 39% | 50% | 27% |
| Goals | 2.42 | 2.63 | 2.2 |
| Scored | 1.23 | 1.5 | 0.93 |
| Conceded | 1.19 | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 63% | 47% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 31% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 6% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 55% | 63% | 27% |
|
xG
|
1.37 | 1.46 | 1.28 |
|
xGA
|
1.38 | 1.17 | 1.6 |
Access all match stats for Derby County vs Swansea City
Where to watch Derby County vs Swansea City live?
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