Derby County and Middlesbrough face each other in an official match of the 2025/26 Championship season. The game takes place at Pride Park Stadium on Thursday, 01/01/2026, at 15:00 (UK Time).
Our experts have prepared predictions for Derby County vs Middlesbrough, based on detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.
APWin predictions for Derby County vs Middlesbrough
The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analyzed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:
Correct Score: 1 - 0
APWin experts have analyzed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.
Derby County preview
Derby County comes into the match having played 23 games in the Championship so far. They have recorded 8 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 1.39 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 22 wins, 22 draws, and 31 losses.
Derby County's attack has scored 86 goals during this period. Out of this total, 32 goals were scored in the Championship, averaging 1.39 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.15.
The offense system of Derby County is led by Jerry Yates as the top scorer of the season. The english forward has scored 10 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Joe Ward, who has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 31 goals with an average of 1.35 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 94 goals conceded in 75 matches, resulting in an average of 1.25.
Middlesbrough preview
On the other hand, Middlesbrough comes into the match having played 23 games in the Championship so far. They have recorded 12 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 1.87 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 31 wins, 17 draws, and 26 losses.
Middlesbrough's attack has scored 100 goals during this period. Out of this total, 33 goals were scored in the Championship, averaging 1.43 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.35.
The offense system of Middlesbrough is led by Tommy Conway as the top scorer of the season. The english forward has scored 13 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Finn Azaz, who has contributed with 11 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 24 goals with an average of 1.04 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 91 goals conceded in 74 matches, resulting in an average of 1.23.
Head to head: Derby County vs Middlesbrough
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Derby County
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L D D W D |
1.39 |
| Home | D D L L W |
1.17 |
| Away | L D W L W |
1.64 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 35% | 25% | 45% |
| Goals | 2.74 | 2.75 | 2.73 |
| Scored | 1.39 | 1.25 | 1.55 |
| Conceded | 1.35 | 1.5 | 1.18 |
| Both Teams to Score | 74% | 75% | 73% |
| Without Conceding | 17% | 17% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 8% | 9% |
| 1st to Score | 52% | 33% | 73% |
|
xG
|
1.13 | 1.3 | 0.94 |
|
xGA
|
1.48 | 1.26 | 1.71 |
Middlesbrough
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L D L W W |
1.87 |
| Home | L D W W L |
2.18 |
| Away | L W W D D |
1.58 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 52% | 64% | 42% |
| Goals | 2.48 | 2.36 | 2.58 |
| Scored | 1.43 | 1.45 | 1.42 |
| Conceded | 1.04 | 0.91 | 1.17 |
| Both Teams to Score | 61% | 64% | 58% |
| Without Conceding | 26% | 36% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 18% | 25% |
| 1st to Score | 52% | 55% | 42% |
|
xG
|
1.52 | 1.45 | 1.58 |
|
xGA
|
1.19 | 1.34 | 1.05 |
Access all match stats for Derby County vs Middlesbrough
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Journalist since 2016, post-graduate during pandemic, and in love with football since child. Sporting was always part of the Gustavo's life, be practicing, watching, making the coverage, and a few years prae here, betting.