Derby County and Middlesbrough face each other on Thursday 01.01.2026, at 15:00 (UK Time), in a Championship 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Derby County's home ground, the Pride Park Stadium.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Derby County and Middlesbrough, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Derby County vs Middlesbrough
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
Correct Score: 1 - 0
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Derby County preview
Derby County heads into the match with the following record in the Championship: in 24 matches, The Rams secured 8 victories, 8 draws, and 8 losses, maintaining an average of 1.33 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Derby County's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 11 victories so far.
Derby County has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 42 goals, of which 33 were scored in the Championship, resulting in an average of 1.38 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Carlton Morris, who has found the back of the net 10 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Joe Ward has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, Derby County has conceded 33 goals in the Championship (an average of 1.38 per game) and 43 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.34 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Middlesbrough preview
Middlesbrough comes into the game with 24 matches played so far in the Championship. They have secured 12 victories, 7 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.79 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 16 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses.
Boro's attack has been highly effective, scoring 47 goals during this period. Of that total, 33 were netted in the Championship, with an average of 1.38 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.52.
Boro's offensive system is led by Morgan Whittaker, the team's top scorer this season. The english forward has found the back of the net 11 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Hayden Hackney. The midfielder has contributed with 5 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 25 goals with an average of 1.04 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 36 goals in 31 matches, averaging 1.16 per match.
Head to head: Derby County vs Middlesbrough
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Derby County
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L D D W D |
1.33 |
| Home | D D L L W |
1.17 |
| Away | L D W L W |
1.5 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| Goals | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.38 | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.38 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Without Conceding | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 33% | 67% |
|
xG
|
1.12 | 1.3 | 0.95 |
|
xGA
|
1.45 | 1.26 | 1.65 |
Middlesbrough
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L D L W W |
1.79 |
| Home | L D W W L |
2 |
| Away | L W W D D |
1.58 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 58% | 42% |
| Goals | 2.42 | 2.25 | 2.58 |
| Scored | 1.38 | 1.33 | 1.42 |
| Conceded | 1.04 | 0.92 | 1.17 |
| Both Teams to Score | 58% | 58% | 58% |
| Without Conceding | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| 1st to Score | 50% | 50% | 42% |
|
xG
|
1.56 | 1.54 | 1.58 |
|
xGA
|
1.16 | 1.27 | 1.05 |
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