The kick off for the match between Derby County and Birmingham City will take place at 12:30 (UK time) - Saturday, 03/21 - at the Pride Park Stadium (Pride Park Stadium). This clash of the 2025/26 EFL Championship looks very promising!
Before placing your bets on this match, check out the full analysis, including predictions for Derby County (The Rams) Limited vs Birmingham City Football Club Limited. We also highlight the most interesting odds and markets with a high chance of winning. Providing today’s best free tip to help you make informed and profitable betting decisions.
APWin predictions for Derby County vs Birmingham City
With odds already released by major bookmakers, our experts have crunched the numbers and dissected the key match data. Find our value-packed prediction for this encounter below:
Over 2.5 Goals
After a thorough assessment of the primary betting markets, APWin analysts have identified bets with strong value potential.
Derby County Preview
Derby County has played 38 matches in the EFL Championship so far, with 16 wins, 9 draws, and 13 losses. This results in an average of 1.5 points per match.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 16 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses. Derby County's attack has scored 58 goals, 55 of them in the league, which gives an average of 1.45 goals per league match and 1.41 goals per match across the entire season.
Carlton Morris is the team’s top scorer with 10 goals, while Joe Ward leads the team in assists with 7. Defensively, The Rams has conceded 48 goals in the league (an average of 1.26) and 54 goals throughout the entire season (an average of 1.32 over 41 matches).
Birmingham City preview
In 38 EFL Championship matches, Birmingham City has recorded 14 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 1.39 points per game.
In the 2025/26 season, the team has 16 wins in 42 matches. The team has scored 54 goals, 48 of them in the EFL Championship (an average of 1.26 goals per match), with Marvin Ducksch being the team's top scorer with 10 goals and Jay Stansfield providing 6 assists.
Defensively, The Blues has conceded 48 goals in the league and 53 in the 2025/26 season overall, resulting in an average of 1.26 goals conceded per match.
Head to head: Derby County vs Birmingham City
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Derby County
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W W L |
1.5 |
| Home | W W W L D |
1.42 |
| Away | W L L L W |
1.58 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 42% | 37% | 47% |
| Goals | 2.71 | 2.68 | 2.74 |
| Scored | 1.45 | 1.37 | 1.53 |
| Conceded | 1.26 | 1.32 | 1.21 |
| Both Teams to Score | 66% | 74% | 58% |
| Without Conceding | 24% | 21% | 26% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 5% | 16% |
| 1st to Score | 53% | 42% | 63% |
|
xG
|
1.2 | 1.27 | 1.13 |
|
xGA
|
1.46 | 1.29 | 1.62 |
Birmingham City
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W L L L |
1.39 |
| Home | D W L D W |
1.84 |
| Away | L L W W W |
0.95 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 37% | 47% | 26% |
| Goals | 2.53 | 2.74 | 2.32 |
| Scored | 1.26 | 1.74 | 0.79 |
| Conceded | 1.26 | 1 | 1.53 |
| Both Teams to Score | 55% | 68% | 42% |
| Without Conceding | 24% | 32% | 16% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 5% | 42% |
| 1st to Score | 53% | 79% | 21% |
|
xG
|
1.53 | 1.93 | 1.12 |
|
xGA
|
1.21 | 1.02 | 1.4 |
Access all match stats for Derby County vs Birmingham City
Where to watch The Rams vs The Blues live?
Check out the live stream of Derby County vs Birmingham City below and follow the match in real time.
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