Deportes Tolima and Independiente Medellín face each other in an official match of the 2025 Categoria Primera A season. The game takes place at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro on Thursday, 05/06/2025, at 00:10 (UK Time).
Our experts have prepared prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellín, based on in-depth study and analysis of both teams' probabilities. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free predictions for today. Find more Categoria Primera A predictions by clicking the link.
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APWin's prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellín
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How Deportes Tolima arrives for the match
Deportes Tolima comes into the match having played 21 games in the Categoria Primera A so far. They have recorded 10 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 1.76 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 10 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses.
Deportes Tolima's attack has scored 31 goals during this period. Out of this total, 31 goals were scored in the Categoria Primera A, averaging 1.48 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.35.
The offense system of Deportes Tolima is led by Gonzalo Lencina as the top scorer of the season. The Argentinian Forward has scored 8 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Juan Pablo Nieto Salazar, who has contributed with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 20 goals with an average of 0.95 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 22 goals conceded in 23 matches, resulting in an average of 0.96.
How Independiente Medellín arrives for the match
On the other hand, Independiente Medellín comes into the match having played 21 games in the Categoria Primera A so far. They have recorded 8 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 1.57 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 8 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses.
Independiente Medellín's attack has scored 20 goals during this period. Out of this total, 20 goals were scored in the Categoria Primera A, averaging 0.95 goals per match. The season's average stands at 0.95.
The offense system of Independiente Medellín is led by Francisco Javier Chaverra Angulo as the top scorer of the season. The Colombian Midfielder has scored 5 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Léider Iván Berrío Peña, who has contributed with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 12 goals with an average of 0.57 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 12 goals conceded in 21 matches, resulting in an average of 0.57.
Both Teams in the Standings
To provide context on how both teams are coming into this match, we present here the current campaigns of the two clubs at this moment.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Independiente Medellín |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 14 | 2.33 |
| 2 |
Santa Fe |
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 12 | 2.00 |
| 3 |
Millonarios |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 9 | 1.50 |
| 4 |
América de Cali |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 1.50 |
| 5 |
Millonarios |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 9 | 1.50 |
| 6 |
Deportes Tolima |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 8 | 1.33 |
| 7 |
Atlético Nacional |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 1.33 |
| 8 |
Once Caldas |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | 0.50 |
| 9 |
Junior |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | 0.17 |
| View more standings Hide | ||||||||||
Data and Statistics for Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellín
Check out the summary of team statistics with various relevant information to support your football prediction.
Home Team
Deportes Tolima
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D L W W W |
1.76 |
| Home | L W W D W |
2.3 |
| Away | D W W D L |
1.27 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 48% | 70% | 27% |
| Goals | 2.43 | 2.2 | 2.64 |
| Scored | 1.48 | 1.6 | 1.36 |
| Conceded | 0.95 | 0.6 | 1.27 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 50% | 64% |
| Without Conceding | 38% | 50% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 20% | 27% |
| 1st to Score | 38% | 40% | 36% |
|
xG
|
1.36 | 1.47 | 1.26 |
|
xGA
|
1.37 | 1.16 | 1.58 |
Away Team
Independiente Medellín
Colombia - Categoria Primera A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D L W L L |
1.57 |
| Home | D W L D W |
1.82 |
| Away | L L D W L |
1.3 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 45% | 30% |
| Goals | 1.52 | 1.64 | 1.4 |
| Scored | 0.95 | 1.27 | 0.6 |
| Conceded | 0.57 | 0.36 | 0.8 |
| Both Teams to Score | 29% | 27% | 30% |
| Without Conceding | 52% | 64% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 27% | 50% |
| 1st to Score | 38% | 45% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.83 | 2.16 | 1.48 |
|
xGA
|
1.16 | 1.01 | 1.32 |
You can check all the statistics for Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellín below.
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellín Preview, Livescore and H2H
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Where to watch Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellín live?
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Facts and Curiosities for Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellín
The bookmakers place Deportes Tolima as the favorite to win the match, with a 40% chance of victory. During the analysis of this prediction, the average odds were as follows:
Deportes Tolima - 2.53.
Draw - 3.23.
Independiente Medellín - 3.46.
The last match between the teams took place on 16/05/2025, in the Categoria Primera A, and Deportes Tolima won the match. The final score was 0-1.
