Main prediction: Burnley to win the clash
Alternative tip: double chance Burnley
Other market: over 10.5 corners
Burnley and Derby County have a track record that never disappoints football fans.
The two teams meet this 19/09 (Saturday), at Turf Moor, at 15:00, and the EFL Championship 2026/27 gets another chapter of this rivalry.
In their last 5 across all competitions, Burnley have won 0 time(s) and score 1 goals per match. Meanwhile, Derby County have won 1 time(s). Burnley have a 51.28% chance of winning according to the bookmakers.
See the probable line-ups, match details, where to watch and the prediction for Burnley vs Derby County.
Prediction for Burnley vs Derby County
BTTS - Yes
Overview Burnley vs Derby County
Burnley are favourites, with odds of 1.95 and a 51.28% chance of winning. The direct head-to-head also leans towards Burnley F.C., with 10 win(s) against 0 for Derby County. The odds for a Derby County (The Rams) Limited win are 4.545 and a draw is 3.922.
In the EFL Championship, Burnley have 0 win(s), 3 draw(s) and 4 defeat(s), with 8 goal(s) scored and 16 conceded. The top scorer is Zian Flemming, with 2 goal(s). On the other side, Derby County have 1 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 5 defeat(s), with 6 goal(s) scored and 13 conceded. Samuel Szmodics is the top scorer with 2 goal(s).
Head-to-head between Burnley and Derby County
In 15 clashes, Burnley have the advantage over Derby County: 10 win(s) against 0 and 5 draw(s). The most recent was on 26/08/2025, in the EFL Cup. Burnley won on that occasion.
The dominance in the head-to-head record is a factor that goes into the predictions for Burnley vs Derby County, but it does not define the result alone. The context of the tournament and each team's form weigh just as much as the record.
Check out all the predictions for the EFL Championship and see all the analysis before you bet.
Burnley: current form
Burnley are going through a difficult patch: 3 defeats in their last 5 matches across all competitions. A positive result here would be important to restore confidence.
See the numbers in the EFL Championship 2026/27:
0 win(s), 3 draw(s), 4 defeat(s)
Performance: 0.43 point(s) per match
8 goals scored (1.14 per match)
Top scorer: Zian Flemming (2 goal(s))
Derby County: current form
Meanwhile, Derby County are going through a difficult patch: 4 defeats in their last 5 matches across all competitions. The opponents need to respond.
See their specific numbers in the EFL Championship:
1 win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 defeat(s)
Performance: 0.57 point(s) per match
6 goals scored (0.86 per match)
Top scorer: Samuel Szmodics (2 goal(s))
Burnley vs Derby County key players
In the EFL Championship, Zian Flemming carries Burnley F.C.'s attack with 2 goal(s).
The playmaker is Max Alleyne, leading in assists with 1. In the whole season, Zian Flemming has 11 goal(s).
On the other side, Samuel Szmodics is the name that frightens the most for The Rams with 2 goal(s) in the EFL Championship.
In terms of playmaking, Bobby Clark leads in assists with 2. In the whole season, Carlton Morris has accumulated 12 goal(s).
Burnley vs Derby County statistics in the EFL Championship
Burnley have an average of 9 corners and 2.14 cards per match. Derby County have 12.29 corners and 2.29 cards. Check the numbers for Burnley vs Derby County below.
Burnley
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L D L D L |
0.4 |
| Home | L D D D D |
0.8 |
| Away | L D L D L |
0.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 3.43 | 3 | 3.75 |
| Scored | 1.14 | 1.33 | 1 |
| Conceded | 2.29 | 1.67 | 2.75 |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Without Conceding | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 43% | 33% | 50% |
|
xG
|
1.47 | 1.34 | 1.58 |
|
xGA
|
1.53 | 1.32 | 1.69 |
Derby County
England - Championship
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L L W L |
0.6 |
| Home | L L L D L |
0.2 |
| Away | L W L W L |
1.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Goals | 2.71 | 2.75 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 0.86 | 0.75 | 1 |
| Conceded | 1.86 | 2 | 1.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 43% | 25% | 67% |
|
xG
|
1.4 | 1.64 | 1.08 |
|
xGA
|
1.8 | 1.74 | 1.89 |
More tips for Burnley vs Derby County
In addition to the main prediction, see other betting markets for Burnley vs Derby County in the EFL Championship:
Correct score prediction for Burnley vs Derby County
The favoritism in the odds points to Burnley. With the available data, we project a narrow win. Correct result: Burnley 1-0 Derby County. Predicting the exact score is difficult. The odds reflect this. Play with caution.
Where to watch Burnley vs Derby County
Check out where to watch the live match between Derby County and Burnley:
Broadcast: no broadcast scheduled
Predicted line-ups for Burnley and Derby County
The line-ups for Burnley vs Derby County in the English Championship are officially confirmed between 45 minutes and 1 hour before the match, via the referee's official team sheet and the clubs' social media channels.
Follow below who is expected to take to the pitch.
Burnley F.C. line-up
-
1
Max Weiß
Goalkeeper
-
2
Kyle Walker
Defender
-
3
Max Alleyne
-
8
Ugo Raghouber
Midfielder
-
11
Zeki Amdouni
Forward
-
14
Connor Roberts
Defender
-
19
Largie Ramazani
Forward
-
21
Aaron Ramsey
Midfielder
-
22
Oliver Sonne
Defender
-
29
Josh Laurent
Midfielder
-
44
Igor Julio
Defender
The starting eleven is confirmed minutes before kick-off.
Derby County (The Rams) Limited line-up
-
1
Jacob Widell Zetterström
Goalkeeper
-
4
David Ozoh
Midfielder
-
6
Sondre Klingen Langås
Defender
-
8
Bobby Clark
Midfielder
-
9
Carlton Morris
Forward
-
11
Samuel Szmodics
Midfielder
-
16
Mohammed Fuseini
Forward
-
18
Charlie Taylor
Defender
-
19
Henrik Wendel Meister
Forward
-
23
Joe Ward
Midfielder
-
44
Eiram Cashin
Defender
The Derby County starting eleven is confirmed close to the initial whistle.
Match details for Burnley vs Derby County
Match: Burnley vs Derby County
Tournament: English Championship 2026/27
Date: 19/09/2026
Time: 15:00 (Brasília time)
Venue: Turf Moor
Broadcast: none scheduled
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.