Benfica and Real Madrid face each other on Wednesday 01.28.2026, at 20:00 (UK Time), in a UEFA Champions League 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Benfica's home ground, the Estádio da Luz.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Benfica and Real Madrid, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Benfica vs Real Madrid
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
HT/FT - X/2
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Benfica preview
Benfica heads into the match with the following record in the UEFA Champions League: in 11 matches, The Eagles secured 5 victories, 1 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.45 points per game.
Taking a broader look at Benfica's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 22 victories so far.
Benfica has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 60 goals, of which 11 were scored in the UEFA Champions League, resulting in an average of 1 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Evangelos Pavlidis, who has found the back of the net 19 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Evangelos Pavlidis has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, Benfica has conceded 10 goals in the UEFA Champions League (an average of 0.91 per game) and 22 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.63 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Real Madrid preview
Real Madrid comes into the game with 7 matches played so far in the UEFA Champions League. They have secured 5 victories, 0 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 2.14 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 23 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses.
Real Madrid Club de Fútbol's attack has been highly effective, scoring 73 goals during this period. Of that total, 19 were netted in the UEFA Champions League, with an average of 2.71 goals per game. The overall season average is 2.28.
Real Madrid CF's offensive system is led by Kylian Mbappé, the team's top scorer this season. The french forward has found the back of the net 21 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Arda Guler. The midfielder has contributed with 7 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 8 goals with an average of 1.14 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 34 goals in 32 matches, averaging 1.06 per match.
Head to head: Benfica vs Real Madrid
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Benfica
Europe - UEFA Champions League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W W L L |
1.45 |
| Home | W L L W W |
1.8 |
| Away | L W L L D |
1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 45% | 60% | 33% |
| Goals | 1.91 | 2.2 | 1.67 |
| Scored | 1 | 1.4 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 0.91 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Both Teams to Score | 9% | 20% | 0% |
| Without Conceding | 55% | 60% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 20% | 67% |
| 1st to Score | 55% | 80% | 33% |
|
xG
|
1.44 | 1.72 | 1.21 |
|
xGA
|
1.19 | 0.93 | 1.42 |
Real Madrid
Europe - UEFA Champions League
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W L W L W |
2.14 |
| Home | W L W W |
2.25 |
| Away | W L W |
2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Goals | 3.86 | 3.5 | 4.33 |
| Scored | 2.71 | 2.5 | 3 |
| Conceded | 1.14 | 1 | 1.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| 1st to Score | 55% | 75% | 33% |
|
xG
|
2.18 | 2.48 | 1.78 |
|
xGA
|
1.69 | 1.66 | 1.73 |
Access all match stats for Benfica vs Real Madrid
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