Benfica and Real Madrid face each other in an official match of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League season. The game takes place at Estádio da Luz on Wednesday, 28/01/2026, at 20:00 (UK Time).

Our experts have prepared predictions for Benfica vs Real Madrid, based on detailed statistical review of both teams. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free prediction for today.

APWin predictions for Benfica vs Real Madrid

The top bookmakers have set the odds, and our team has analyzed all relevant match data. See our expert match prediction below:

APWin Prediction

HT/FT - X/2

APWin experts have analyzed the main betting markets and selected high-value bets.

👉 Our prediction is: Benfica win or draw

The home team is usually a safe bet in the Double Chance market, and that is no different in the upcoming match. Our top tip is to bet a Benfica win or draw against Real Madrid.

Our analysis of Benfica points to them being the superior side, which is why they have a strong chance to win the match outright. And with the added benefit of needing only a draw at home against Real Madrid, their chances of cashing in the 1X Double Chance bet grow even stronger.

👉 Our prediction is: Both teams don't score

Based on our analysis, we are confident that the best bet is to go 'no' on the Both Teams to Score market.

The matchup figures to be a tight, defensive one, with both teams desperate not to get caught out. That's why we see only one or none of the teams finding the back of the net in this encounter, which are the conditions needed to win the bet.

Benfica preview

Benfica comes into the match having played 11 games in the UEFA Champions League so far. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.45 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 21 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses.

Benfica's attack has scored 56 goals during this period. Out of this total, 11 goals were scored in the UEFA Champions League, averaging 1 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.65.

The offense system of Benfica is led by Evangelos Pavlidis as the top scorer of the season. The greek forward has scored 17 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Evangelos Pavlidis, who has contributed with 4 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 10 goals with an average of 0.91 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 22 goals conceded in 34 matches, resulting in an average of 0.65.

Real Madrid preview

On the other hand, Real Madrid comes into the match having played 7 games in the UEFA Champions League so far. They have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 2.14 points per game in the tournament.

In the 2025/26 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 23 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses.

Real Madrid's attack has scored 73 goals during this period. Out of this total, 19 goals were scored in the UEFA Champions League, averaging 2.71 goals per match. The season's average stands at 2.28.

The offense system of Real Madrid is led by Kylian Mbappé as the top scorer of the season. The french forward has scored 21 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Arda Guler, who has contributed with 7 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 8 goals with an average of 1.14 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 34 goals conceded in 32 matches, resulting in an average of 1.06.

Head to head: Benfica vs Real Madrid

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Benfica Team Logo

Benfica

Europe - UEFA Champions League

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L W W L L

1.45

Home W L L W W

1.8

Away L W L L D

1.17

Away Team

Real Madrid Team Logo

Real Madrid

Europe - UEFA Champions League

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall W L W L W

2.14

Home W L W W

2.25

Away W L W

2

Access all match stats for Benfica vs Real Madrid

Where to watch Benfica vs Real Madrid live?

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Published on 25 January 2026, at 20:31 Last updated on 25 January 2026, at 20:31
Author: Amauri Barbosa

I’m a journalist and content creator with over 7 years of experience in sports betting. At APWin, I live football and betting markets, and outside the screen I’m also a marathon runner always chasing performance.