Bahia vs Atlético MG | Prediction | Serie A

Bahia and Atlético MG face each other on Sunday 07.13.2025, at 01:00 (UK Time), in a Serie A 2025 match. The game will take place at Bahia's home ground, the Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova.

The APWin team has prepared a detailed analysis for this match, highlighting the most promising predictions, attractive odds, and betting markets with strong potential for returns.

APWin Predictions for Bahia vs Atlético MG

According to APWin's sports betting experts, there could be up to three promising betting markets for the Bahia vs Atlético MG match.

In addition to the main betting tip, our team also found alternative betting tips for the Birghton vs Liverpool match.

👉 Our prediction is: Bahia to score first

It will be a tough task for Bahia to topple Atlético MG, who have been a better side overall this season. But with the support of the home crowd will be a huge help to Bahia in their bid to cause an upset.

While the odds of an outright win are not great, we recommend betting on Bahia to score first as a decent alternative. There is still good value in those odds, and with Bahia's attacking talent, they have more than a puncher's chance of paying off that bet.

👉 Our prediction is: Bahia win or draw

The Double Chance market is an excellent option for those who want a little more security and a little less risk in their bets. Of the three potential outcomes in a football match (win, draw, loss), two of them ensure a winning bet.

And with the 1X bet, the home team has a higher probability of hitting on the bet thanks to the added advantage of playing in their own stadium.

So based on recent form and other factors, we feel confident enough in Bahia's ability to avoid defeat to make Bahia win or draw our top betting tip for this match.

Bahia's Information for the Match

Bahia heads into the match with the following record in the Serie A: in 12 matches, EC Bahia secured 6 victories, 3 draws, and 3 losses, maintaining an average of 1.75 points per game.

Taking a broader look at Bahia's 2025 season, the team has achieved a total of 25 victories so far.

Bahia has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 71 goals, of which 14 were scored in the Serie A, resulting in an average of 1.17 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Jean Lucas, who has found the back of the net 4 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Luciano Batista da Silva Junior has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, Bahia has conceded 11 goals in the Serie A (an average of 0.92 per game) and 32 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 0.73 per match in the 2025 campaign.

Bahia's Latest Results

Mirassol

Bahia

Bahia

Santos

Corinthians

Bahia

Bahia

Fluminense

Sport Recife

Bahia

Atlético MG's Information for the Match

Atlético MG comes into the game with 12 matches played so far in the Serie A. They have secured 5 victories, 5 draws, and 2 losses, maintaining an average of 1.67 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2025 season, the team has recorded 17 wins, 13 draws, and 4 losses.

Atlético Mineiro's attack has been highly effective, scoring 53 goals during this period. Of that total, 13 were netted in the Serie A, with an average of 1.08 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.56.

Atlético Mineiro's offensive system is led by Hulk, the team's top scorer this season. The brazilian forward has found the back of the net 7 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Gustavo Scarpa. The midfielder has contributed with 3 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 10 goals with an average of 0.83 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 22 goals in 34 matches, averaging 0.65 per match.

Atlético MG's Latest Results

Vitória

Atlético MG

São Paulo

Atlético MG

Atlético MG

Grêmio

Vasco da Gama

Atlético MG

Atlético MG

RB Bragantino

Bahia vs Atlético MG Standings

To better understand the context of this matchup, let's analyze the recent campaign of both teams Brasileirao. Below, we present a complete overview of the campaigns of both clubs so far, highlighting their performances and what this may indicate for the game.

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	PPG
1	Flamengo	21	14	5	2	45	10	+35	47	2.24
2	Palmeiras	21	14	4	3	32	17	+15	46	2.19
3	Cruzeiro	22	13	5	4	35	15	+20	44	2.00
4	Mirassol	21	10	8	3	36	20	+16	38	1.81
5	Bahia	20	10	6	4	28	22	+6	36	1.80
6	Botafogo	20	10	5	5	30	13	+17	35	1.75
7	São Paulo	22	8	8	6	26	23	+3	32	1.45
8	RB Bragantino	22	9	3	10	27	32	-5	30	1.36
9	Corinthians	23	7	8	8	24	28	-4	29	1.26
10	Fluminense	21	8	4	9	25	29	-4	28	1.33
11	Internacional	22	7	6	9	26	33	-7	27	1.23
12	Ceará	21	7	5	9	19	20	-1	26	1.24
13	Grêmio	22	6	7	9	20	27	-7	25	1.14
14	Atlético MG	20	6	6	8	20	24	-4	24	1.20
15	Vasco da Gama	21	6	4	11	30	31	-1	22	1.05
16	Santos	21	6	4	11	20	31	-11	22	1.05
17	Vitória	23	4	10	9	19	34	-15	22	0.96
18	Juventude	21	6	3	12	19	41	-22	21	1.00
19	Fortaleza	22	4	6	12	22	34	-12	18	0.82
20	Sport Recife	20	1	7	12	14	33	-19	10	0.50
View more standings Hide

Data for Bahia vs Atlético MG: Complete Statistics

You can base your football prediction on the detailed information of the teams' statistics below.

Bahia

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L W L	1.75
Home	W W W W D	2.33
Away	W L L W L	1.17

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Goals	2.08	2	2.17
Scored	1.17	1.33	1
Conceded	0.92	0.67	1.17
Both Teams to Score	42%	67%	17%
Without Conceding	33%	33%	33%
Failed To Score	25%	0%	50%
1st to Score	67%	83%	50%
xG	1.4	1.43	1.38
xGA	1.59	1.52	1.65

Atlético MG

Brazil - Serie A

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D D W	1.67
Home	W D W W D	2
Away	W D W D L	1.33

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	42%	50%	33%
Goals	1.92	2	1.83
Scored	1.08	1.33	0.83
Conceded	0.83	0.67	1
Both Teams to Score	33%	33%	33%
Without Conceding	58%	67%	50%
Failed To Score	33%	33%	33%
1st to Score	67%	33%	33%
xG	1.98	2.07	1.9
xGA	1.31	0.96	1.66

See below all the details of the clash between Bahia vs Atlético MG.

Bahia vs Atlético MG Preview, Livescore and H2H

At APWin, you can also find the complete statistical analysis of the Serie A.

How to Watch Bahia vs Atlético MG Live on TV and Online?

To make it easier for you to watch the match and place live bets, APWin has gathered all the information about where to watch the game, including TV channels and streaming platforms.

Check out other alternatives to follow the Serie A without missing a single moment!

Facts and Trends for the Clash

The bookmakers place Bahia as the favorite to win the match, with a 40% chance of victory. During the analysis of this prediction, the average odds were as follows: