Atlético MG and Sport Recife face each other in an official match of the 2025 Serie A season. The game takes place at Arena MRV on Wednesday, 16/07/2025, at 16:00 (UK Time).
Our experts have prepared prediction for Atlético MG vs Sport Recife, based on in-depth study and analysis of both teams' probabilities. Our goal is to assist bettors in making profitable decisions, which is why we offer the best free predictions for today. Find more Serie A predictions by clicking the link.
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APWin's prediction for Atlético MG vs Sport Recife
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How Atlético MG arrives for the match
Atlético MG comes into the match having played 13 games in the Serie A so far. They have recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.54 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 17 wins, 13 draws, and 5 losses.
Atlético MG's attack has scored 54 goals during this period. Out of this total, 14 goals were scored in the Serie A, averaging 1.08 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.54.
The offense system of Atlético MG is led by Hulk as the top scorer of the season. The brazilian forward has scored 7 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Gustavo Scarpa, who has contributed with 3 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 12 goals with an average of 0.92 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 24 goals conceded in 35 matches, resulting in an average of 0.69.
How Sport Recife arrives for the match
On the other hand, Sport Recife comes into the match having played 11 games in the Serie A so far. They have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 0.27 points per game in the tournament.
In the 2025 season across all competitions, the team has achieved 12 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses.
Sport Recife's attack has scored 43 goals during this period. Out of this total, 5 goals were scored in the Serie A, averaging 0.45 goals per match. The season's average stands at 1.26.
The offense system of Sport Recife is led by Chrystian Barletta as the top scorer of the season. The brazilian midfielder has scored 2 goals. He is supported by the season's best assistant, Lucas Rafael Araujo Lima, who has contributed with 2 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 18 goals with an average of 1.64 in the league. In all competitions, the current numbers are 37 goals conceded in 34 matches, resulting in an average of 1.09.
Both Teams in the Standings
To provide context on how both teams are coming into this match, we present here the current campaigns of the two clubs at this moment.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo |
21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 10 | +35 | 47 | 2.24 |
| 2 |
Cruzeiro |
22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35 | 15 | +20 | 44 | 2.00 |
| 3 |
Palmeiras |
20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 16 | +12 | 43 | 2.15 |
| 4 |
Bahia |
20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | +6 | 36 | 1.80 |
| 5 |
Botafogo |
20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 13 | +17 | 35 | 1.75 |
| 6 |
Mirassol |
20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35 | 20 | +15 | 35 | 1.75 |
| 7 |
São Paulo |
22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | +3 | 32 | 1.45 |
| 8 |
RB Bragantino |
22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 30 | 1.36 |
| 9 |
Fluminense |
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 28 | 1.40 |
| 10 |
Internacional |
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 27 | 1.29 |
| 11 |
Ceará |
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 26 | 1.24 |
| 12 |
Corinthians |
22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 | 1.18 |
| 13 |
Grêmio |
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 25 | 1.19 |
| 14 |
Atlético MG |
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 24 | 1.20 |
| 15 |
Vasco da Gama |
21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 22 | 1.05 |
| 16 |
Santos |
21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 22 | 1.05 |
| 17 |
Vitória |
22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 22 | 1.00 |
| 18 |
Juventude |
21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 21 | 1.00 |
| 19 |
Fortaleza |
21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 15 | 0.71 |
| 20 |
Sport Recife |
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 33 | -19 | 10 | 0.50 |
| View more standings Hide | ||||||||||
Data and Statistics for Atlético MG vs Sport Recife
Check out the summary of team statistics with various relevant information to support your football prediction.
Home Team
Atlético MG
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L W W D D |
1.54 |
| Home | W D W W D |
2 |
| Away | L W D W D |
1.14 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 50% | 29% |
| Goals | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Scored | 1.08 | 1.33 | 0.86 |
| Conceded | 0.92 | 0.67 | 1.14 |
| Both Teams to Score | 38% | 33% | 43% |
| Without Conceding | 54% | 67% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| 1st to Score | 31% | 33% | 29% |
|
xG
|
1.92 | 2.07 | 1.8 |
|
xGA
|
1.37 | 0.96 | 1.72 |
Away Team
Sport Recife
Brazil - Serie A
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L D L L |
0.25 |
| Home | D L D L L |
0.4 |
| Away | L L L L L |
0.14 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 2.08 | 2 | 2.14 |
| Scored | 0.42 | 0.4 | 0.43 |
| Conceded | 1.67 | 1.6 | 1.71 |
| Both Teams to Score | 42% | 40% | 43% |
| Without Conceding | 17% | 20% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 58% | 60% | 57% |
| 1st to Score | 31% | 20% | 29% |
|
xG
|
1.6 | 1.75 | 1.48 |
|
xGA
|
1.52 | 1.53 | 1.52 |
You can check all the statistics for Atlético MG vs Sport Recife below.
Atlético MG vs Sport Recife Preview, Livescore and H2H
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Where to watch Atlético MG vs Sport Recife live?
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Facts and Curiosities for Atlético MG vs Sport Recife
The bookmakers place Atlético MG as the favorite to win the match, with a 64% chance of victory. During the analysis of this prediction, the average odds were as follows:
Atlético MG - 1.57.
Draw - 5.35.
Sport Recife - 6.95.
The last match between the teams took place on 23/05/2024, in the Copa do Brasil, and Sport Recife won the match. The final score was 1-0.
