Atlético Madrid and Real Sociedad face each other on Saturday 04.18.2026, at 20:00 (UK Time), in a Copa del Rey 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Atlético Madrid's home ground, the Estadio Cívitas Metropolitano.
Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Club Atlético de Madrid, S.A.D. and Real Sociedad de Fútbol, S.A.D., grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.
APWin predictions for Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad
With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals
The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.
Atlético Madrid preview
Atlético Madrid heads into the match with the following record in the Copa del Rey: in 5 matches, Club Atlético de Madrid, S.A.D. secured 4 victories, 0 draws, and 1 losses, maintaining an average of 2.4 points per game.
Taking a broader look at The Mattress Makers's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 28 victories so far.
Atlético Madrid has been effective in the offence, scoring a total of 99 goals, of which 13 were scored in the Copa del Rey, resulting in an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Individually, the standout performer is Alexander Sørloth, who has found the back of the net 10 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offence. Giuliano Simeone has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 6 assists.
On the defensive side, Atlético Madrid has conceded 5 goals in the Copa del Rey (an average of 1 per game) and 65 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 1.27 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.
Real Sociedad preview
Real Sociedad comes into the game with 7 matches played so far in the Copa del Rey. They have secured 6 victories, 1 draws, and 0 losses, maintaining an average of 2.71 points per game in the competition.
Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 17 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses.
Real Sociedad de Fútbol, S.A.D.'s attack has been highly effective, scoring 63 goals during this period. Of that total, 14 were netted in the Copa del Rey, with an average of 2 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.66.
Txuri-urdin's offensive system is led by Mikel Oyarzabal, the team's top scorer this season. The spanish forward has found the back of the net 12 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Takefusa Kubo. The forward has contributed with 4 assists.
On the defensive side, the team has conceded 5 goals with an average of 0.71 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 53 goals in 38 matches, averaging 1.39 per match.
Head to head: Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad
Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.
Atlético Madrid
Spain - Copa del Rey
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L L W L L |
0.6 |
| Home | L L W W W |
1.8 |
| Away | L W L L L |
0.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 75% |
| Goals | 3.6 | 4 | 3.5 |
| Scored | 2.6 | 4 | 2.25 |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 1.25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 20% | 0% | 25% |
| Without Conceding | 60% | 100% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 25% |
| 1st to Score | 80% | 100% | 75% |
|
xG
|
1.35 | 1.54 | 1.31 |
|
xGA
|
1.6 | 1.5 | 1.62 |
Real Sociedad
Spain - Copa del Rey
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | D W L W L |
1.4 |
| Home | D W W W D |
2.2 |
| Away | L L W L W |
1.2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 86% | 50% | 100% |
| Goals | 2.71 | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| Scored | 2 | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| Conceded | 0.71 | 1 | 0.6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43% | 50% | 40% |
| Without Conceding | 57% | 50% | 60% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 80% | 50% | 80% |
|
xG
|
1.71 | 2.28 | 1.48 |
|
xGA
|
1.13 | 1.22 | 1.09 |
Access all match stats for Atlético Madrid vs Real Sociedad
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Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.