Main prediction: both teams to score (BTTS)
Alternative tip: over 1.5 goals in the 1st half
Other market: over 10.5 corners
Ajax and Excelsior have a track record that never disappoints football fans.
The two teams meet this 19/09 (Saturday), at Johan Cruyff Arena, at 19:00, and the Eredivisie 2026/27 gets another chapter of this rivalry.
In their last 5 across all competitions, Ajax have won 4 time(s) and score 4 goals per match. Meanwhile, Excelsior have won 2 time(s). Ajax have a 71.94% chance of winning according to the bookmakers.
See the probable line-ups, match details, where to watch and the prediction for Ajax vs Excelsior.
Prediction for Ajax vs Excelsior
BTTS - Yes
Overview Ajax vs Excelsior
Ajax are favourites, with odds of 1.39 and a 71.94% chance of winning. The direct head-to-head also leans towards Amsterdamsche Football Club Ajax N.V., with 13 win(s) against 1 for Excelsior. The odds for a Stichting Betaald Voetbal Excelsior win are 10.526 and a draw is 7.407.
In the Eredivisie, Ajax have 4 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 1 defeat(s), with 19 goal(s) scored and 7 conceded, having Julian Brandt as top scorer with 3 goal(s). Meanwhile, Excelsior have 3 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 2 defeat(s), with 13 goal(s) scored and 7 conceded, and David Garden as top scorer with 3 goal(s).
Head-to-head between Ajax and Excelsior
In 18 clashes, Ajax have the advantage over Excelsior: 13 win(s) against 1 and 4 draw(s). The most recent was on 01/02/2026, in the Eredivisie. draw won on that occasion.
The dominance in the head-to-head record is a factor that goes into the predictions for Ajax vs Excelsior, but it does not define the result alone. The context of the tournament and each team's form weigh just as much as the record.
Check out all the predictions for the Eredivisie and see all the analysis before you bet.
Ajax: current form
Ajax are in great form in the Eredivisie: a 67% win rate and 2.17 points per match in 6 matches.
In their last 5 matches across all competitions, there were 4 win(s) and 1 defeat(s).
See more numbers in the Dutch League:
4 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 defeat(s)
Performance: {team_a_table_ppg_overall} point(s) per match
19 goals scored (3.17 per match)
Top scorer: Julian Brandt (3 goal(s))
Excelsior: current form
For the visitors, Excelsior have played 6 match(es) in the Netherlands League.
See their performance:
3 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 defeat(s)
Performance: 1.67 point(s) per match
13 goals scored (2.17 per match)
Top scorer: David Garden (3 goal(s))
Ajax vs Excelsior key players
In the Eredivisie, Julian Brandt carries Amsterdamsche Football Club Ajax N.V.'s attack with 3 goal(s).
The playmaker is Oscar Gluh, leading in assists with 3. In the whole season, Mika Godts has 17 goal(s).
On the other side, David Garden is the name that frightens the most for The Kralingers with 3 goal(s) in the Eredivisie.
In terms of playmaking, Irakli Yegoian leads in assists with 4. In the whole season, Noah Naujoks has accumulated 10 goal(s).
Ajax vs Excelsior statistics in the Eredivisie
Ajax have an average of 10.33 corners and 2.17 cards per match. Meanwhile, Excelsior have 9.5 corners and 1.5 cards. See the numbers for Ajax vs Excelsior in the table below.
Ajax
Netherlands - Eredivisie
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W W L W W |
2.4 |
| Home | W L W D W |
2 |
| Away | W W W D W |
2.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 67% | 33% | 100% |
| Goals | 4.33 | 4.67 | 4 |
| Scored | 3.17 | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| Conceded | 1.17 | 2 | 0.33 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 83% | 67% | 100% |
|
xG
|
2.54 | 2.68 | 2.4 |
|
xGA
|
1.21 | 1.42 | 1 |
Excelsior
Netherlands - Eredivisie
| Form | Last 5 | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L D W W L |
1.4 |
| Home | L W L D W |
1.4 |
| Away | D W W W W |
2.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 3.33 | 3 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 2.17 | 1.33 | 3 |
| Conceded | 1.17 | 1.67 | 0.67 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| Without Conceding | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 1st to Score | 83% | 33% | 67% |
|
xG
|
1.44 | 1.26 | 1.62 |
|
xGA
|
1.45 | 1.58 | 1.31 |
More tips for Ajax vs Excelsior
In addition to the main prediction, see other betting markets for Ajax vs Excelsior in the Eredivisie:
Correct score prediction for Ajax vs Excelsior
Goal averages above the norm and Ajax as favourites in the odds. A match with goals and a home win. Correct result: Ajax 3-1 Excelsior. The correct result option is unpredictable by nature. Bet responsibly.
Where to watch Ajax vs Excelsior
Check out where to watch the live match between Excelsior and Ajax:
Broadcast: no broadcast scheduled
Predicted line-ups for Ajax and Excelsior
The line-ups for Ajax vs Excelsior in the Netherlands League are officially confirmed between 45 minutes and 1 hour before the match, via the referee's official team sheet and the clubs' social media channels.
Follow below who is expected to take to the pitch.
Amsterdamsche Football Club Ajax N.V. line-up
-
2
Lucas Rosa
Defender
-
5
Owen Wijndal
Defender
-
6
Thilo Kehrer
Defender
-
8
Julian Brandt
Midfielder
-
9
Kasper Dolberg
Forward
-
10
Oscar Gluh
Midfielder
-
15
Youri Baas
Defender
-
18
Davy Klaassen
Midfielder
-
23
Steven Berghuis
Forward
-
24
Jorthy Mokio
Midfielder
-
26
Maarten Paes
Goalkeeper
The starting eleven is confirmed minutes before kick-off.
Stichting Betaald Voetbal Excelsior line-up
-
1
Stijn van Gassel
Goalkeeper
-
2
Eric Moreira
Defender
-
3
Rick Meissen
Defender
-
4
Casper Widell
Defender
-
7
Aymen Sliti
Forward
-
8
Irakli Yegoian
Midfielder
-
12
Kasey Bos
Defender
-
14
Jan Plug
Defender
-
19
David Garden
Forward
-
20
Lennard Hartjes
Midfielder
-
30
Ágúst Þorsteinsson
Forward
The Excelsior starting eleven is confirmed close to the initial whistle.
Match details for Ajax vs Excelsior
Match: Ajax vs Excelsior
Tournament: Netherlands League 2026/27
Date: 19/09/2026
Time: 19:00 (Brasília time)
Venue: Johan Cruyff Arena
Broadcast: none scheduled
Check out all today's football predictions and follow the best analysis before betting.
Sports betting is entertainment. Set your limits, play responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose. If the game is no longer fun, seek out Gamblers Anonymous right away.
Sports betting analyst with over 15 years of experience. At APWin, he writes football predictions, reviews bookmakers and explains the reasoning behind every bet.