Venados and Tlaxcala face each other on Friday 11.07.2025, at 03:00 (UK Time), in a Liga de Expansão MX 2025/26 match. The game will take place at Venados's home ground, the Estadio Olímpico Carlos Iturralde Rivero.

Our team of analysts has crafted predictions for the clash between Venados and Tlaxcala, grounded in an in-depth statistical analysis of both sides. We aim to empower bettors with reliable insights, delivering today’s top free betting tip to support smarter, more profitable choices.

APWin predictions for Venados vs Tlaxcala

With odds already defined by leading bookmakers, our specialists have thoroughly reviewed the key match data. Check out our expert prediction below:

APWin Prediction

Double Chance: Venados or Draw

The APWin team has examined the key betting markets and identified the most valuable opportunities.

👉 Our prediction is: Venados win or draw

The home team is usually a safe bet in the Double Chance market, and that is no different in the upcoming match. Our top tip is to bet a Venados win or draw against Tlaxcala.

Our analysis of Venados points to them being the superior side, which is why they have a strong chance to win the match outright. And with the added benefit of needing only a draw at home against Tlaxcala, their chances of cashing in the 1X Double Chance bet grow even stronger.

👉 Our prediction is: Venados to win the 1st half

While the half-time market is not a particularly popular betting market, it does provide a good deal of value. And this is true for Venados vs Tlaxcala, where we have Venados to win the first half as our best bet.

Venados has been quite a fast starter at home as they quickly put the pressure on their visitors in the opening minutes. That strategy should lead to a Venados taking an advantage into half-time.

Venados preview

Venados heads into the match with the following record in the Liga de Expansão MX: in 13 matches, Venados secured 4 victories, 3 draws, and 6 losses, maintaining an average of 1.15 points per game.

Taking a broader look at Venados's 2025/26 season, the team has achieved a total of 5 victories so far.

Venados has been effective in the offense, scoring a total of 29 goals, of which 24 were scored in the Liga de Expansão MX, resulting in an average of 1.85 goals per game.

Individually, the standout performer is Juan José Calero Sierra, who has found the back of the net 13 times. However, he is not alone in driving the offense. Waldo Madrid has taken on the role of the team's main playmaker, leading with 7 assists.

On the defensive side, Venados has conceded 29 goals in the Liga de Expansão MX (an average of 2.23 per game) and 30 goals throughout the entire season, with an average of 2.14 per match in the 2025/26 campaign.

Tlaxcala preview

Tlaxcala comes into the game with 13 matches played so far in the Liga de Expansão MX. They have secured 3 victories, 5 draws, and 5 losses, maintaining an average of 1.08 points per game in the competition.

Across all competitions in the 2025/26 season, the team has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses.

Tlaxcala's attack has been highly effective, scoring 14 goals during this period. Of that total, 13 were netted in the Liga de Expansão MX, with an average of 1 goals per game. The overall season average is 1.

Tlaxcala's offensive system is led by José Fernando Plascencia Castro, the team's top scorer this season. The mexican midfielder has found the back of the net 3 times. He is supported by the team's best assist provider, Pablo González Díaz. The midfielder has contributed with 2 assists.

On the defensive side, the team has conceded 22 goals with an average of 1.69 per game in the championship. For the whole season, the team conceded 27 goals in 14 matches, averaging 1.93 per match.

Head to head: Venados vs Tlaxcala

Review the head-to-head record between the teams, featuring key data to support your match prediction.

Home Team

Venados Team Logo

Venados

Mexico - Ascenso MX

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L D L W W

1.15

Home D W W D D

1.5

Away L L W L W

0.86

Away Team

Tlaxcala Team Logo

Tlaxcala

Mexico - Ascenso MX

Form Last 5 PPG
Overall L D D L D

1.08

Home L D D W W

1.29

Away D L W D L

0.83

Access all match stats for Venados vs Tlaxcala

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