30.03.2024 - 13:00
Stadium : Donaustadion (Ulm)
Finished
The Germany 3. Liga is back on 30th of March at 13:00 with Ulm hosting Erzgebirge Aue and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Ulm vs Erzgebirge Aue. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Ulm has had Under 2.5 Goals in its last 5 matches
🔥 Ulm has had Over 9.5 Corners in its last 3 matches
🔥 Ulm and Erzgebirge Aue average 2.52 goals scored per match
Ulm | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Standings | 9 |
| 1.6 | Goal Scored | 1.23 |
| 1.07 | Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 50% | % Over 2.5 | 50% |
| 53% | % BTTS | 57% |
| 1.07 | xG | 1.43 |
| 1.26 | xGA | 1.43 |
Ulm | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Standings | 12 |
| 1.71 | Goal Scored | 0.93 |
| 0.93 | Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
| 50% | % Over 2.5 | 50% |
| 57% | % BTTS | 53% |
| 1.18 | xG | 1.37 |
| 1.22 | xGA | 1.49 |
Ulm averages 1.6 goals scored per match in this season’s 3. Liga. The home team has scored 48 times in the 30 matches played so far this year for this competition. Ulm is, as such, the 4th best attack in this season of the 3. Liga.
The 15th best attack of the 3. Liga has scored 37 goals in 30 matches played so far this season. Erzgebirge Aue averages, as such, 1.23 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 30 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Ulm 32 times. This means that Ulm is the 2nd best defence in this season’s 3. Liga.
In the 30 matches it has played in the 3. Liga, Erzgebirge Aue has conceded 36 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1.2 goals per match, making it the 7th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Ulm has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 50% of the matches it played so far in the 3. Liga this season.
Erzgebirge Aue has, until today, finished 50% of the matches of this season’s 3. Liga with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 15 matches out of 30, compared with the league average of 54%.
Out of the 30 matches that Ulm has taken part in this season, 16 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Erzgebirge Aue, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 17.1 occasions out of the 30 times it played for the 3. Liga this season.
We mentioned earlier that Ulm averages 1.6 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.07 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Erzgebirge Aue is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.43 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.26 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.43 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Erzgebirge Aue wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Ulm vs Erzgebirge Aue.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Ulm vs Erzgebirge Aue, for the matchday 31 of the 3. Liga.
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