Tusker are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.75 overall shots and 1.63 xG. Their season scoring average is 1 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Well above avg
3.50League 2.06
Over 2.5 Goals
Well above avg
84%League 38%
Both Teams Score
Well above avg
84%League 50%
Corners
Well above avg
11.67League 8.86
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Tusker average 13 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.86, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ goal
OVER90%UNDER10%1.5
2+ goals
OVER70%UNDER30%2.5
3+ goals
OVER50%UNDER50%3.5
4+ goals
OVER30%UNDER70%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Over 0.5 at 90% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Tusker
Home
Mombasa United
Away
Points & Results
- 1.50PPG0.00
- 50%Wins0%
- 50%First to Score17%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.001.00
- Conceded/game0.502.00
- xG1.631.30
- xGA1.241.69
Trends
- 50%Both Score50%
- 25%Clean Sheet17%
- 08/11/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueBandari1 - 0LTusker08/11/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueBandari
1 - 0
TuskerL - 02/11/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueTusker3 - 1WTransMara Sugar02/11/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueTusker
3 - 1
TransMara SugarW - 29/10/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMathare United2 - 1LTusker29/10/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMathare United
2 - 1
TuskerL - 11/10/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueUlinzi Stars0 - 2WTusker11/10/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueUlinzi Stars
0 - 2
TuskerW
Tusker scored in 3/4 recent form matches and averaged 1.5 goals.
- 07/11/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMombasa United2 - 3LShabana07/11/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMombasa United
2 - 3
ShabanaL - 01/11/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMigori Youth FC2 - 0LMombasa United01/11/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMigori Youth FC
2 - 0
Mombasa UnitedL - 28/10/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueKCB3 - 1LMombasa United28/10/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueKCB
3 - 1
Mombasa UnitedL - 25/10/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMombasa United0 - 0DKenya Police25/10/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMombasa United
0 - 0
Kenya PoliceD - 19/10/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueTransMara Sugar2 - 1LMombasa United19/10/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueTransMara Sugar
2 - 1
Mombasa UnitedL - 14/10/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMombasa United0 - 1LHomeboyz14/10/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMombasa United
0 - 1
HomeboyzL
Mombasa United scored in 3/6 recent form matches and averaged 0.67 goals.
Both teams are equal in terms of Scored/game
Tusker is +300% better in terms of Conceded/game
Tusker is +25% better in terms of xG
Tusker is +36% better in terms of xGA
Tusker is +150% better in terms of First-Half Form
Mombasa United is +100% better in terms of Offsides
Mombasa United is +15% better in terms of Corners
Both teams are equal in terms of Cards
Tusker is +138% better in terms of Shots on Target
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 13 | |
| 2 | KCB | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 13 | |
| 3 | Leopards | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 | |
| 4 | Shabana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 9 | |
| 5 | Kenya Police | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 9 | |
| 6 | TransMara Sugar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 | |
| 7 | 3K | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 | |
| 8 | Murang'a SEAL | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 8 | |
| 9 | Bandari | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | |
| 10 | Posta Rangers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 | |
| 11 | Tusker | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 | |
| 12 | APS Bomet | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 | |
| 13 | Migori Youth FC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 | |
| 14 | Ulinzi Stars | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | |
| 15 | Nairobi United | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | |
| 16 | Homeboyz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 | |
| 17 | Mathare United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 | |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 |
Tusker vs Mombasa United: Statistics and Analysis - Kenyan Premier League 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Tusker vs Mombasa United - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Kenyan Premier League match will be played on 05/12/2026 (Saturday) at 13:00.
The fixture is part of game week 11th of the Kenyan Premier League season. Tusker currently sits in position 11th of the Kenyan Premier League table. Mombasa United occupies position 18th.
Stat Probabilities for Tusker vs Mombasa United
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Tusker vs Mombasa United at 84%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Tusker and Mombasa United point to a 84% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Tusker vs Mombasa United prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Tusker vs Mombasa United?
According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Tusker at , the draw at , and Mombasa United at .
Overall performance in the Kenyan Premier League
Tusker's record so far reads 1W-0D-1L from 2 played a win rate of 50% at 1.5 points per game.
Mombasa United stands at 0W-0D-3L from 3 played, winning 0% of their matches at 0 points per game.
On the road, Mombasa United has won 0% of their matches (0W-0D-1L from 1 played).
Goal statistics for Tusker vs Mombasa United
In attack, Tusker averages 1 goals scored per game in the Kenyan Premier League (2 in total), while conceding 0.5 per game (1 in total).
Mombasa United averages 1 goals scored per game (3 in total) and 2 conceded per game (6 in total).
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Frequently asked questions about Tusker vs Mombasa United
When is Tusker vs Mombasa United?
The match will be played on 05/12/2026 (Saturday) at 13:00.
Who is the favorite in Tusker vs Mombasa United?
is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Tusker is priced at , the draw at and Mombasa United at .
Where can I find a Tusker vs Mombasa United prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Tusker vs Mombasa United prediction page.
Where can I find Tusker vs Mombasa United stats?
All key statistics for Tusker vs Mombasa United are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Tusker vs Mombasa United?
Live streaming information is available on our Tusker vs Mombasa United stream page.