Tusker are creating the better shooting profile with average 4.75 overall shots and 1.63 xG. Their season scoring average is 1.5 goals per game, so the next major chance is likely to come from their side.
Key Statistics
Avg. Goals
Below average
1.67League 2.06
Over 2.5 Goals
Well below avg
17%League 38%
Both Teams Score
Well below avg
33%League 50%
Corners
Well below avg
5.33League 8.86
Corner volume is the clearest signal here. Tusker average 6.33 corners in this split, compared with the league benchmark of 8.86, which points to sustained attacking territory.
Over / Under
0.5
1+ goal
OVER88%UNDER12%1.5
2+ goals
OVER77%UNDER23%2.5
3+ goals
OVER33%UNDER67%3.5
4+ goals
OVER11%UNDER89%
The recent scoring sample is stronger for Under 3.5 at 89% across the last 10 relevant matches. That makes the goal market a top pick for this match.
Team Performance
Migori Youth FC
Home
Tusker
Away
Points & Results
- 1.20PPG1.50
- 20%Wins50%
- 40%First to Score50%
Goals Scored & Conceded
- Scored/game1.001.50
- Conceded/game0.801.00
- xG1.901.63
- xGA1.071.24
Trends
- 60%Both Score50%
- 40%Clean Sheet25%
- 07/11/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueTransMara Sugar2 - 1LMigori Youth FC07/11/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueTransMara Sugar
2 - 1
Migori Youth FCL - 01/11/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMigori Youth FC2 - 0WMombasa United01/11/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMigori Youth FC
2 - 0
Mombasa UnitedW - 29/10/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueShabana1 - 1DMigori Youth FC29/10/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueShabana
1 - 1
Migori Youth FCD - 24/10/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMigori Youth FC0 - 0DMathare United24/10/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMigori Youth FC
0 - 0
Mathare UnitedD - 11/10/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMigori Youth FC1 - 1DKenya Police11/10/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMigori Youth FC
1 - 1
Kenya PoliceD
Migori Youth FC scored in 4/5 recent form matches and averaged 1 goals.
- 08/11/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueBandari1 - 0LTusker08/11/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueBandari
1 - 0
TuskerL - 02/11/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueTusker3 - 1WTransMara Sugar02/11/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueTusker
3 - 1
TransMara SugarW - 29/10/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMathare United2 - 1LTusker29/10/2026, 12:00Kenyan Premier LeagueMathare United
2 - 1
TuskerL - 11/10/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueUlinzi Stars0 - 2WTusker11/10/2026, 11:00Kenyan Premier LeagueUlinzi Stars
0 - 2
TuskerW
Tusker scored in 3/4 recent form matches and averaged 1.5 goals.
Tusker is +50% better in terms of Scored/game
Migori Youth FC is +25% better in terms of Conceded/game
Migori Youth FC is +17% better in terms of xG
Migori Youth FC is +16% better in terms of xGA
Tusker is +25% better in terms of First-Half Form
Migori Youth FC is +100% better in terms of Offsides
Tusker is +60% better in terms of Corners
Both teams are equal in terms of Cards
Both teams are equal in terms of Shots on Target
| # | Form | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 13 | |
| 2 | KCB | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 13 | |
| 3 | Leopards | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 | |
| 4 | Shabana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 9 | |
| 5 | Kenya Police | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 9 | |
| 6 | TransMara Sugar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 | |
| 7 | 3K | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 | |
| 8 | Murang'a SEAL | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 8 | |
| 9 | Bandari | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | |
| 10 | Posta Rangers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 | |
| 11 | Tusker | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 | |
| 12 | APS Bomet | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 | |
| 13 | Migori Youth FC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 | |
| 14 | Ulinzi Stars | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | |
| 15 | Nairobi United | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | |
| 16 | Homeboyz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 | |
| 17 | Mathare United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 | |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 |
Migori Youth FC vs Tusker: Statistics and Analysis - Kenyan Premier League 2026/2027
On this page you can check all the key statistics for Migori Youth FC vs Tusker - goals, corners, form, trends, head-to-head record and more.
This Kenyan Premier League match will be played on 01/05/2027 (Saturday) at 12:00.
The fixture is part of game week 32th of the Kenyan Premier League season. Migori Youth FC currently sits in position 13th of the Kenyan Premier League table. Tusker occupies position 11th.
Stat Probabilities for Migori Youth FC vs Tusker
Our projection system combines both teams' numbers into percentage chances for the key statistical markets in this match:
Both teams to score: our projection puts the chance of both teams scoring in Migori Youth FC vs Tusker at 33%.
Over 2.5 goals: the combined stats for Migori Youth FC and Tusker point to a 17% chance of over 2.5 goals in this match.
For our tips built on these numbers, see the Migori Youth FC vs Tusker prediction page.
Who is the favorite in Migori Youth FC vs Tusker?
According to the latest match odds, is the favorite at an implied probability of about 0%. The full 1X2 market has Migori Youth FC at , the draw at , and Tusker at .
Overall performance in the Kenyan Premier League
Migori Youth FC's record so far reads 1W-3D-1L from 5 played a win rate of 20% at 1.2 points per game.
Tusker stands at 2W-0D-2L from 4 played, winning 50% of their matches at 1.5 points per game.
In their last five, Migori Youth FC has gone 1W-3D-1L, averaging 1.2 points per game.
At home, Migori Youth FC has a 33% win rate (1W-2D-0L from 3 played).
On the road, Tusker has won 33% of their matches (1W-0D-2L from 3 played).
Goal statistics for Migori Youth FC vs Tusker
In attack, Migori Youth FC averages 1 goals scored per game in the Kenyan Premier League (5 in total), while conceding 0.8 per game (4 in total).
Tusker averages 1.5 goals scored per game (6 in total) and 1 conceded per game (4 in total).
More detail - goals home and away, expected goals and first-to-score rates - is in the tables above.
Frequently asked questions about Migori Youth FC vs Tusker
When is Migori Youth FC vs Tusker?
The match will be played on 01/05/2027 (Saturday) at 12:00.
Who is the favorite in Migori Youth FC vs Tusker?
is the favorite at odds of , an implied probability of about 0%. Migori Youth FC is priced at , the draw at and Tusker at .
Where can I find a Migori Youth FC vs Tusker prediction?
You can find our full prediction, including in-depth analysis on the Migori Youth FC vs Tusker prediction page.
Where can I find Migori Youth FC vs Tusker stats?
All key statistics for Migori Youth FC vs Tusker are on this page, updated in real time.
Where can I watch Migori Youth FC vs Tusker?
Live streaming information is available on our Migori Youth FC vs Tusker stream page.