07.10.2022 - 00:00
Stadium : Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez (Tepatitlán de Morelos)
Finished
The Mexico Ascenso MX is back on 7th of October at 00:00 with Tepatitlán de Morelos hosting Cimarrones de Sonora and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cimarrones de Sonora. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Tepatitlán de Morelos has conceded at least a goal in its last 7 matches
🔥 Cimarrones de Sonora has had Under 9.5 Corners in its last 9 matches
🔥 Tepatitlán de Morelos has conceded at least a goal in its last 3 matches against Cimarrones de Sonora
🔥 Tepatitlán de Morelos and Cimarrones de Sonora average 2.88 goals scored per match
Tepatitlán de Morelos | Cimarrones de Sonora | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Standings | 4 |
| 1.33 | Goal Scored | 1.73 |
| 1.33 | Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 63% | % Over 2.5 | 50% |
| 67% | % BTTS | 60% |
| 1.24 | xG | 1.04 |
| 1.28 | xGA | 1.27 |
Tepatitlán de Morelos | Cimarrones de Sonora | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Standings | 7 |
| 1.88 | Goal Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.25 | Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 63% | % Over 2.5 | 50% |
| 63% | % BTTS | 75% |
| 1.23 | xG | 0.94 |
| 1.08 | xGA | 1.28 |
Tepatitlán de Morelos averages 1.33 goals scored per match in this season’s Ascenso MX. The home team has scored 20 times in the 15 matches played so far this year for this competition. Tepatitlán de Morelos is, as such, the 8th best attack in this season of the Ascenso MX.
The 3rd best attack of the Ascenso MX has scored 26 goals in 15 matches played so far this season. Cimarrones de Sonora averages, as such, 1.73 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 15 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Tepatitlán de Morelos 20 times. This means that Tepatitlán de Morelos is the 11th best defence in this season’s Ascenso MX.
In the 15 matches it has played in the Ascenso MX, Cimarrones de Sonora has conceded 15 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1 goals per match, making it the 6th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Tepatitlán de Morelos has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 63% of the matches it played so far in the Ascenso MX this season.
Cimarrones de Sonora has, until today, finished 50% of the matches of this season’s Ascenso MX with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 8 matches out of 15, compared with the league average of 44%.
Out of the 15 matches that Tepatitlán de Morelos has taken part in this season, 10 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Cimarrones de Sonora, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 9 occasions out of the 15 times it played for the Ascenso MX this season.
We mentioned earlier that Tepatitlán de Morelos averages 1.33 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.24 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Cimarrones de Sonora is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.16 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.28 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.27 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Cimarrones de Sonora wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cimarrones de Sonora.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cimarrones de Sonora, for the matchday 16 of the Ascenso MX.
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