21.03.2023 - 23:05
Stadium : Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez (Tepatitlán de Morelos)
Finished
The Mexico Ascenso MX is back on 21st of March at 23:05 with Tepatitlán de Morelos hosting Cancún and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cancún. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Tepatitlán de Morelos has had Over 2.5 Goals in its last 4 matches
🔥 Tepatitlán de Morelos has had Under 1.5 HT Goals in its last 3 matches
🔥 The past 5 matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Cancún have ended with over 2.5 goals
🔥 The past 5 matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Cancún have ended with under 9.5 Corners
🔥 Tepatitlán de Morelos and Cancún average 2.43 goals scored per match
Tepatitlán de Morelos | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Standings | 13 |
| 1.41 | Goal Scored | 0.71 |
| 1.31 | Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 52% | % Over 2.5 | 39% |
| 62% | % BTTS | 32% |
| 1.13 | xG | 1.06 |
| 1.39 | xGA | 1.27 |
Tepatitlán de Morelos | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Standings | 15 |
| 1.71 | Goal Scored | 0.5 |
| 1.21 | Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 52% | % Over 2.5 | 39% |
| 57% | % BTTS | 21% |
| 1.19 | xG | 1.12 |
| 1.15 | xGA | 1.37 |
Tepatitlán de Morelos averages 1.41 goals scored per match in this season’s Ascenso MX. The home team has scored 41 times in the 29 matches played so far this year for this competition. Tepatitlán de Morelos is, as such, the 7th best attack in this season of the Ascenso MX.
The 18th best attack of the Ascenso MX has scored 20 goals in 28 matches played so far this season. Cancún averages, as such, 0.71 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 29 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Tepatitlán de Morelos 38 times. This means that Tepatitlán de Morelos is the 9th best defence in this season’s Ascenso MX.
In the 28 matches it has played in the Ascenso MX, Cancún has conceded 37 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1.32 goals per match, making it the 10th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Tepatitlán de Morelos has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 52% of the matches it played so far in the Ascenso MX this season.
Cancún has, until today, finished 39% of the matches of this season’s Ascenso MX with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 11 matches out of 28, compared with the league average of 47%.
Out of the 29 matches that Tepatitlán de Morelos has taken part in this season, 18 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Cancún, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 8.96 occasions out of the 28 times it played for the Ascenso MX this season.
We mentioned earlier that Tepatitlán de Morelos averages 1.41 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.13 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Cancún is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.06 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.39 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.27 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Cancún wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cancún.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Cancún, for the matchday 12 of the Ascenso MX.
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