04.10.2022 - 18:45
Stadium : The County Ground (Swindon, Wiltshire)
Finished
Swindon Town vs Newport County happens on the 4th of October at 18:45 and we have prepared a betting tip for this match in the England EFL League Two. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed the qualitative and quantitative data and come up with the prediction for Swindon Town vs Newport County. If you decide to follow our betting tip, good luck! And remember, if you are looking for more betting tips, we have you covered!
🔥 Swindon Town has had Over 9.5 Corners in its last 7 matches
🔥 Newport County has conceded at least a goal in its last 5 matches
🔥 Swindon Town has conceded at least a goal in its last 4 matches against Newport County
🔥 Swindon Town and Newport County average 2.5 goals scored per match
Swindon Town | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Standings | 16 |
| 1.18 | Goal Scored | 1.09 |
| 1 | Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 60% | % Over 2.5 | 40% |
| 55% | % BTTS | 45% |
| 1.53 | xG | 1.04 |
| 1.35 | xGA | 1.32 |
Swindon Town | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Standings | 11 |
| 1.6 | Goal Scored | 1.4 |
| 1 | Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 60% | % Over 2.5 | 40% |
| 60% | % BTTS | 40% |
| 1.51 | xG | 0.97 |
| 1.44 | xGA | 1.44 |
The home team is the 10th best attack in the EFL League Two. Swindon Town has found the back of the opposition’s net 13 times in the 11 times it entered the pitch so far this season, which averages 1.18 goals scored per match.
Only time will tell, but so far, Newport County has averaged 1.09 goals scored per match in this season of the EFL League Two. The team has gotten 12 goals in 11 matches so far this season, making it the 13th best attacking team in this competition.
Averaging 1 goals conceded per match, Swindon Town has conceded 11 times in the 11 matches played so far this season of the EFL League Two. This makes this match’s home team the 11th defence in the competition.
With 15 goals conceded in the 11 matches it played in the EFL League Two, Newport County is the 18th best defence in the competition, since it averages 1.36 goals conceded per match.
In the 11 matches it played this season, Swindon Town has ended with 3 or more match goals (scored and conceded combined) in 60% of the times, so 7 of those matches.
The EFL League Two averages 44% of its matches with 3 or more goals scored. Newport County visits Swindon Town having finished 40% of its matches with 3+ goals. Do you think this is worth exploring?
In a BTTS bet, as long as both teams find the back of the net at least once, we will be in profit. In 55% of matches the home team has taken part in this season, it has both scored and conceded in the same match. Is there maybe an opportunity for BTTS on Swindon Town?
If we look at Newport County’s statistics so far this season in the BTTS market we will see that our of all the matches it has played in the competition, that 45% of them have ended with a BTTS.
It is no question that Swindon Town’s attack has raised some eyebrows so far this season, and no surprise as well that the home team arrives to this match with 1.53 expected goals per match in the EFL League Two.
Only once the match ends can we come up with our conclusions, but before it starts we can definitely look at the away team’s 1.04 expected goals on average per match and take that into account before placing a bet.
A low xGA is a good measure of a team’s defensive capabilities, since it means that it gives the opposing team very little goal scoring chances throughout a match. Swindon Town gets to this event with 1.35 expected goals against, so we will see how their performance reflects just that.
Newport County is a team where not everything is working perfectly. The team gets to this match with 1.36 goals conceded on average, against 1.32 xGA. What kind of defensive performance will we see today?
If you are looking for the prediction for Swindon Town vs Newport County, we have got your back. We have already gone over all of the statistical points that we think are relevant for this match, and now comes the moment of the truth - the betting tips.
APWin’s team of analysts has gone over the statistics of both teams so far in the competition, we have gone over what has been happening around the EFL League Two and out of the pitch on both teams and their stars and are pretty confident with our preview for this match.
As such, you can find below our betting tip for the match Swindon Town vs Newport County, for the matchday 8 of the EFL League Two, taking place on the 4th of October at 18:45.
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