05.02.2023 - 11:30
Stadium : Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)
Finished
Spezia vs Napoli happens on the 5th of February at 11:30 and we have prepared a betting tip for this match in the Italy Serie A. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed the qualitative and quantitative data and come up with the prediction for Spezia vs Napoli. If you decide to follow our betting tip, good luck! And remember, if you are looking for more betting tips, we have you covered!
🔥 Spezia has had Under 2.5 Goals in its last 4 matches
🔥 Spezia has had Under 1.5 HT Goals in its last 4 matches
🔥 Spezia and Napoli average 2.7 goals scored per match
Spezia | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Standings | 1 |
| 0.85 | Goal Scored | 2.4 |
| 1.6 | Goals Conceded | 0.75 |
| 50% | % Over 2.5 | 60% |
| 45% | % BTTS | 55% |
| 1.42 | xG | 2.19 |
| 1.94 | xGA | 1.21 |
Spezia | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Standings | 1 |
| 1.3 | Goal Scored | 2 |
| 1.4 | Goals Conceded | 0.7 |
| 50% | % Over 2.5 | 60% |
| 70% | % BTTS | 50% |
| 1.5 | xG | 1.96 |
| 1.89 | xGA | 1.19 |
The home team is the 18th best attack in the Serie A. Spezia has found the back of the opposition’s net 17 times in the 20 times it entered the pitch so far this season, which averages 0.85 goals scored per match.
Only time will tell, but so far, Napoli has averaged 2.4 goals scored per match in this season of the Serie A. The team has gotten 48 goals in 20 matches so far this season, making it the 1st best attacking team in this competition.
Averaging 1.6 goals conceded per match, Spezia has conceded 32 times in the 20 matches played so far this season of the Serie A. This makes this match’s home team the 16th defence in the competition.
With 15 goals conceded in the 20 matches it played in the Serie A, Napoli is the 1st best defence in the competition, since it averages 0.75 goals conceded per match.
In the 20 matches it played this season, Spezia has ended with 3 or more match goals (scored and conceded combined) in 50% of the times, so 10 of those matches.
The Serie A averages 49% of its matches with 3 or more goals scored. SSC Napoli visits Spezia having finished 60% of its matches with 3+ goals. Do you think this is worth exploring?
In a BTTS bet, as long as both teams find the back of the net at least once, we will be in profit. In 45% of matches the home team has taken part in this season, it has both scored and conceded in the same match. Is there maybe an opportunity for BTTS on Spezia?
If we look at Napoli’s statistics so far this season in the BTTS market we will see that our of all the matches it has played in the competition, that 55% of them have ended with a BTTS.
It is no question that Spezia’s attack has raised some eyebrows so far this season, and no surprise as well that the home team arrives to this match with 1.42 expected goals per match in the Serie A.
Only once the match ends can we come up with our conclusions, but before it starts we can definitely look at the away team’s 2.19 expected goals on average per match and take that into account before placing a bet.
A low xGA is a good measure of a team’s defensive capabilities, since it means that it gives the opposing team very little goal scoring chances throughout a match. Spezia gets to this event with 1.94 expected goals against, so we will see how their performance reflects just that.
Napoli is a team where not everything is working perfectly. The team gets to this match with 0.75 goals conceded on average, against 1.21 xGA. What kind of defensive performance will we see today?
If you are looking for the prediction for Spezia vs Napoli, we have got your back. We have already gone over all of the statistical points that we think are relevant for this match, and now comes the moment of the truth - the betting tips.
APWin’s team of analysts has gone over the statistics of both teams so far in the competition, we have gone over what has been happening around the Serie A and out of the pitch on both teams and their stars and are pretty confident with our preview for this match.
As such, you can find below our betting tip for the match Spezia vs Napoli, for the matchday 21 of the Serie A, taking place on the 5th of February at 11:30.
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