29.03.2024 - 15:00
Stadium : St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton, Hampshire)
Finished
The England Championship is back on 29th of March at 15:00 with Southampton hosting Middlesbrough and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Southampton vs Middlesbrough. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Southampton has had Over 2.5 Goals in its last 4 matches
🔥 Southampton has had Over 1.5 HT Goals in its last 4 matches
🔥 Middlesbrough has conceded at least a goal in its last 5 matches against Southampton
🔥 Southampton and Middlesbrough average 3.6 goals scored per match
Southampton | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Standings | 10 |
| 2.03 | Goal Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.31 | Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
| 64% | % Over 2.5 | 53% |
| 67% | % BTTS | 55% |
| 1.89 | xG | 1.5 |
| 1.13 | xGA | 1.29 |
Southampton | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Standings | 6 |
| 2.5 | Goal Scored | 1.74 |
| 1.33 | Goals Conceded | 1.63 |
| 64% | % Over 2.5 | 53% |
| 67% | % BTTS | 68% |
| 2 | xG | 1.43 |
| 1.1 | xGA | 1.38 |
Southampton averages 2.03 goals scored per match in this season’s Championship. The home team has scored 73 times in the 36 matches played so far this year for this competition. Southampton is, as such, the 2nd best attack in this season of the Championship.
The 11th best attack of the Championship has scored 53 goals in 38 matches played so far this season. Middlesbrough averages, as such, 1.39 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 36 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Southampton 47 times. This means that Southampton is the 9th best defence in this season’s Championship.
In the 38 matches it has played in the Championship, Middlesbrough has conceded 52 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1.37 goals per match, making it the 14th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Southampton has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 64% of the matches it played so far in the Championship this season.
Middlesbrough has, until today, finished 53% of the matches of this season’s Championship with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 20 matches out of 38, compared with the league average of 53%.
Out of the 36 matches that Southampton has taken part in this season, 24 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Middlesbrough, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 20.9 occasions out of the 38 times it played for the Championship this season.
We mentioned earlier that Southampton averages 2.03 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.89 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Middlesbrough is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.5 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.13 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.29 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Middlesbrough wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Southampton vs Middlesbrough.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Southampton vs Middlesbrough, for the matchday 39 of the Championship.
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