03.08.2023 - 00:30
Stadium : Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín (Bogotá, D.C.)
Finished
The Colombia Categoria Primera A is back on 3rd of August at 00:30 with Santa Fe hosting Independiente Medellín and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Santa Fe has had Under 9.5 Corners in its last 4 matches
🔥 Independiente Medellín has had Over 9.5 Corners in its last 5 matches
🔥 The past 5 matches between Santa Fe and Independiente Medellín have ended with under 2.5 goals
🔥 The past 5 matches between Santa Fe and Independiente Medellín have ended with under 1.5 HT goals
🔥 Santa Fe and Independiente Medellín average 2.4 goals scored per match
Santa Fe | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Standings | 9 |
| 1.43 | Goal Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.19 | Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 48% | % Over 2.5 | 50% |
| 43% | % BTTS | 54% |
| 1.88 | xG | 1.56 |
| 1.26 | xGA | 1.36 |
Santa Fe | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Standings | 9 |
| 1.64 | Goal Scored | 1 |
| 0.55 | Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
| 48% | % Over 2.5 | 50% |
| 9% | % BTTS | 69% |
| 2.02 | xG | 1.36 |
| 1.01 | xGA | 1.7 |
Santa Fe averages 1.43 goals scored per match in this season’s Categoria Primera A. The home team has scored 30 times in the 21 matches played so far this year for this competition. Santa Fe is, as such, the 2nd best attack in this season of the Categoria Primera A.
The 6th best attack of the Categoria Primera A has scored 35 goals in 28 matches played so far this season. Independiente Medellín averages, as such, 1.25 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 21 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Santa Fé 25 times. This means that Santa Fe is the 13th best defence in this season’s Categoria Primera A.
In the 28 matches it has played in the Categoria Primera A, Independiente Medellín has conceded 34 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1.21 goals per match, making it the 14th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Santa Fe has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 48% of the matches it played so far in the Categoria Primera A this season.
Independiente Medellín has, until today, finished 50% of the matches of this season’s Categoria Primera A with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 14 matches out of 28, compared with the league average of 38%.
Out of the 21 matches that Santa Fé has taken part in this season, 9 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Independiente Medellín, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 15.12 occasions out of the 28 times it played for the Categoria Primera A this season.
We mentioned earlier that Santa Fe averages 1.43 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.88 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Independiente Medellín is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.56 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.26 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.36 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Independiente Medellín wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín, for the matchday 3 of the Categoria Primera A.
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