04.03.2023 - 19:30
Stadium : Estádio Municipal Irmão Gino Maria Rossi (Pouso Alegre, Minas Gerais)
Finished
Pouso Alegre vs Caldense happens on the 4th of March at 19:30 and we have prepared a betting tip for this match in the Brazil Mineiro 1. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed the qualitative and quantitative data and come up with the prediction for Pouso Alegre vs Caldense. If you decide to follow our betting tip, good luck! And remember, if you are looking for more betting tips, we have you covered!
🔥 Pouso Alegre has had Under 2.5 Goals in its last 4 matches
🔥 Pouso Alegre hasn’t won in its last 3 matches
🔥 Caldense has conceded at least a goal in its last 3 matches against Pouso Alegre
🔥 Pouso Alegre and Caldense average 3.67 goals scored per match
Pouso Alegre | Caldense | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Standings | 3 |
| 0.86 | Goal Scored | 1.14 |
| 1.29 | Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 29% | % Over 2.5 | 86% |
| 43% | % BTTS | 71% |
| 1.61 | xG | 1.51 |
| 1.53 | xGA | 1.53 |
Pouso Alegre | Caldense | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Standings | 12 |
| 1.33 | Goal Scored | 1 |
| 2.33 | Goals Conceded | 2.67 |
| 29% | % Over 2.5 | 86% |
| 67% | % BTTS | 67% |
| 1.83 | xG | 1.03 |
| 1.38 | xGA | 1.58 |
The home team is the 11th best attack in the Mineiro 1. Pouso Alegre has found the back of the opposition’s net 6 times in the 7 times it entered the pitch so far this season, which averages 0.86 goals scored per match.
Only time will tell, but so far, Caldense has averaged 1.14 goals scored per match in this season of the Mineiro 1. The team has gotten 8 goals in 7 matches so far this season, making it the 7th best attacking team in this competition.
Averaging 1.29 goals conceded per match, Pouso Alegre has conceded 9 times in the 7 matches played so far this season of the Mineiro 1. This makes this match’s home team the 6th defence in the competition.
With 14 goals conceded in the 7 matches it played in the Mineiro 1, Caldense is the 12th best defence in the competition, since it averages 2 goals conceded per match.
In the 7 matches it played this season, Pouso Alegre has ended with 3 or more match goals (scored and conceded combined) in 29% of the times, so 2 of those matches.
The Mineiro 1 averages 55% of its matches with 3 or more goals scored. Caldense visits Pouso Alegre having finished 86% of its matches with 3+ goals. Do you think this is worth exploring?
In a BTTS bet, as long as both teams find the back of the net at least once, we will be in profit. In 43% of matches the home team has taken part in this season, it has both scored and conceded in the same match. Is there maybe an opportunity for BTTS on Pouso Alegre?
If we look at Caldense’s statistics so far this season in the BTTS market we will see that our of all the matches it has played in the competition, that 71% of them have ended with a BTTS.
It is no question that Pouso Alegre’s attack has raised some eyebrows so far this season, and no surprise as well that the home team arrives to this match with 1.61 expected goals per match in the Mineiro 1.
Only once the match ends can we come up with our conclusions, but before it starts we can definitely look at the away team’s 1.51 expected goals on average per match and take that into account before placing a bet.
A low xGA is a good measure of a team’s defensive capabilities, since it means that it gives the opposing team very little goal scoring chances throughout a match. Pouso Alegre gets to this event with 1.53 expected goals against, so we will see how their performance reflects just that.
Caldense is a team where not everything is working perfectly. The team gets to this match with 2 goals conceded on average, against 1.53 xGA. What kind of defensive performance will we see today?
If you are looking for the prediction for Pouso Alegre vs Caldense, we have got your back. We have already gone over all of the statistical points that we think are relevant for this match, and now comes the moment of the truth - the betting tips.
APWin’s team of analysts has gone over the statistics of both teams so far in the competition, we have gone over what has been happening around the Mineiro 1 and out of the pitch on both teams and their stars and are pretty confident with our preview for this match.
As such, you can find below our betting tip for the match Pouso Alegre vs Caldense, for the matchday 8 of the Mineiro 1, taking place on the 4th of March at 19:30.
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