18.11.2022 - 20:00
Stadium : Fratton Park (Portsmouth)
Finished
Portsmouth vs Derby County happens on the 18th of November at 20:00 and we have prepared a betting tip for this match in the England EFL League One. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed the qualitative and quantitative data and come up with the prediction for Portsmouth vs Derby County. If you decide to follow our betting tip, good luck! And remember, if you are looking for more betting tips, we have you covered!
🔥 Portsmouth has had Under 2.5 Goals in its last 4 matches
🔥 Portsmouth hasn’t won in its last 3 matches
🔥 Portsmouth has conceded at least a goal in its last 6 matches against Derby County
🔥 Derby County hasn’t lost any of its past 4 matches against Portsmouth
🔥 Portsmouth and Derby County average 2.21 goals scored per match
Portsmouth | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Standings | 6 |
| 1.63 | Goal Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.13 | Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 50% | % Over 2.5 | 22% |
| 63% | % BTTS | 47% |
| 1.45 | xG | 1.72 |
| 1.17 | xGA | 1.27 |
Portsmouth | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Standings | 8 |
| 1.75 | Goal Scored | 1 |
| 1 | Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
| 50% | % Over 2.5 | 22% |
| 88% | % BTTS | 22% |
| 1.47 | xG | 1.7 |
| 0.85 | xGA | 1.24 |
The home team is the 7th best attack in the EFL League One. Portsmouth has found the back of the opposition’s net 26 times in the 16 times it entered the pitch so far this season, which averages 1.63 goals scored per match.
Only time will tell, but so far, Derby County has averaged 1.35 goals scored per match in this season of the EFL League One. The team has gotten 23 goals in 17 matches so far this season, making it the 10th best attacking team in this competition.
Averaging 1.13 goals conceded per match, Pompey has conceded 18 times in the 16 matches played so far this season of the EFL League One. This makes this match’s home team the 10th defence in the competition.
With 16 goals conceded in the 17 matches it played in the EFL League One, Derby County is the 4th best defence in the competition, since it averages 0.94 goals conceded per match.
In the 16 matches it played this season, Portsmouth has ended with 3 or more match goals (scored and conceded combined) in 50% of the times, so 8 of those matches.
The EFL League One averages 49% of its matches with 3 or more goals scored. The Rams visits Portsmouth having finished 22% of its matches with 3+ goals. Do you think this is worth exploring?
In a BTTS bet, as long as both teams find the back of the net at least once, we will be in profit. In 63% of matches the home team has taken part in this season, it has both scored and conceded in the same match. Is there maybe an opportunity for BTTS on Pompey?
If we look at Derby County’s statistics so far this season in the BTTS market we will see that our of all the matches it has played in the competition, that 47% of them have ended with a BTTS.
It is no question that Portsmouth’s attack has raised some eyebrows so far this season, and no surprise as well that the home team arrives to this match with 1.45 expected goals per match in the EFL League One.
Only once the match ends can we come up with our conclusions, but before it starts we can definitely look at the away team’s 1.72 expected goals on average per match and take that into account before placing a bet.
A low xGA is a good measure of a team’s defensive capabilities, since it means that it gives the opposing team very little goal scoring chances throughout a match. Portsmouth gets to this event with 1.17 expected goals against, so we will see how their performance reflects just that.
Derby County is a team where not everything is working perfectly. The team gets to this match with 0.94 goals conceded on average, against 1.27 xGA. What kind of defensive performance will we see today?
If you are looking for the prediction for Portsmouth vs Derby County, we have got your back. We have already gone over all of the statistical points that we think are relevant for this match, and now comes the moment of the truth - the betting tips.
APWin’s team of analysts has gone over the statistics of both teams so far in the competition, we have gone over what has been happening around the EFL League One and out of the pitch on both teams and their stars and are pretty confident with our preview for this match.
As such, you can find below our betting tip for the match Portsmouth vs Derby County, for the matchday 19 of the EFL League One, taking place on the 18th of November at 20:00.
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