26.01.2023 - 20:15
Stadium : Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)
Finished
The Portugal Liga NOS is back on 26th of January at 20:15 with Paços de Ferreira hosting Benfica and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Paços de Ferreira vs Benfica. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Benfica hasn’t lost in its last 3 matches
🔥 The past 15 matches between Paços de Ferreira and Benfica have ended with over 9.5 Corners
🔥 Paços de Ferreira has conceded at least a goal in its last 10 matches against Benfica
🔥 Paços de Ferreira and Benfica average 2.35 goals scored per match
Paços de Ferreira | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Standings | 1 |
| 0.59 | Goal Scored | 2.53 |
| 1.88 | Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
| 47% | % Over 2.5 | 71% |
| 41% | % BTTS | 35% |
| 1.21 | xG | 2.6 |
| 1.77 | xGA | 0.89 |
Paços de Ferreira | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Standings | 2 |
| 0.56 | Goal Scored | 1.75 |
| 1.89 | Goals Conceded | 0.5 |
| 47% | % Over 2.5 | 71% |
| 44% | % BTTS | 13% |
| 1.46 | xG | 2.04 |
| 1.68 | xGA | 1.06 |
Paços de Ferreira averages 0.59 goals scored per match in this season’s Liga Bwin. The home team has scored 10 times in the 13 matches played so far this year for this competition. Paços de Ferreira is, as such, the 18th best attack in this season of the Liga Bwin.
The 1st best attack of the Liga Bwin has scored 43 goals in 13 matches played so far this season. Benfica averages, as such, 2.53 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 13 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Paços de Ferreira 32 times. This means that Paços de Ferreira is the 18th best defence in this season’s Liga Bwin.
In the 13 matches it has played in the Liga Bwin, Benfica has conceded 12 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 0.71 goals per match, making it the 2nd team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Paços de Ferreira has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 47% of the matches it played so far in the Liga Bwin this season.
Benfica has, until today, finished 71% of the matches of this season’s Liga Bwin with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 9 matches out of 13, compared with the league average of 47%.
Out of the 13 matches that Paços de Ferreira has taken part in this season, 5 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Benfica, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 4.55 occasions out of the 13 times it played for the Liga Bwin this season.
We mentioned earlier that Paços de Ferreira averages 0.59 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.21 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Benfica is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 2.6 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.77 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 0.89 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Benfica wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Paços de Ferreira vs Benfica.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Paços de Ferreira vs Benfica, for the matchday 20 of the Liga Bwin.
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