Predictions for Morelia vs Venados

Morelia vs Venados Betting Tips: 27/01/2023 - Matchday 4 - Mexico Ascenso MX

Morelia vs Venados happens on the 27th of January at 01:00 and we have prepared a betting tip for this match in the Mexico Ascenso MX. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed the qualitative and quantitative data and come up with the prediction for Morelia vs Venados. If you decide to follow our betting tip, good luck! And remember, if you are looking for more betting tips, we have you covered!

🔥 Morelia has had Under 9.5 Corners in its last 7 matches

🔥 Morelia hasn’t lost in its last 3 matches

🔥 The past 3 matches between Morelia and Venados have ended with under 1.5 HT goals

🔥 The past 3 matches between Morelia and Venados have ended with over 9.5 Corners

🔥 Morelia and Venados average 2.22 goals scored per match

Morelia		Venados
7	Standings	4
1.43	Goal Scored	1.35
1.04	Goals Conceded	1.17
33%	% Over 2.5	45%
43%	% BTTS	48%
1.28	xG	1.11
1.17	xGA	1.3

Morelia		Venados
4	Standings	7
1.67	Goal Scored	0.82
0.58	Goals Conceded	1.36
33%	% Over 2.5	45%
42%	% BTTS	55%
1.39	xG	0.98
0.86	xGA	1.33

Morelia - Previous Results

Overall
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Venados - Previous Results

Overall
Away

Summary

Goal Scored

The home team is the 6th best attack in the Ascenso MX. Morelia has found the back of the opposition’s net 33 times in the 20 times it entered the pitch so far this season, which averages 1.43 goals scored per match.

Only time will tell, but so far, Venados has averaged 1.35 goals scored per match in this season of the Ascenso MX. The team has gotten 31 goals in 20 matches so far this season, making it the 9th best attacking team in this competition.

Goals Conceded

Averaging 1.04 goals conceded per match, Morelia has conceded 24 times in the 20 matches played so far this season of the Ascenso MX. This makes this match’s home team the 4th defence in the competition.

With 27 goals conceded in the 20 matches it played in the Ascenso MX, Venados is the 7th best defence in the competition, since it averages 1.17 goals conceded per match.

% Over 2.5

In the 20 matches it played this season, Morelia has ended with 3 or more match goals (scored and conceded combined) in 39% of the times, so 8 of those matches.

The Ascenso MX averages 47% of its matches with 3 or more goals scored. Venados visits Morelia having finished 48% of its matches with 3+ goals. Do you think this is worth exploring?

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

In a BTTS bet, as long as both teams find the back of the net at least once, we will be in profit. In 43% of matches the home team has taken part in this season, it has both scored and conceded in the same match. Is there maybe an opportunity for BTTS on Morelia?

If we look at Venados’s statistics so far this season in the BTTS market we will see that our of all the matches it has played in the competition, that 48% of them have ended with a BTTS.

Expected Goals (xG)

It is no question that Morelia’s attack has raised some eyebrows so far this season, and no surprise as well that the home team arrives to this match with 1.28 expected goals per match in the Ascenso MX.

Only once the match ends can we come up with our conclusions, but before it starts we can definitely look at the away team’s 1.11 expected goals on average per match and take that into account before placing a bet.

Expected Goals Against (xGA)

A low xGA is a good measure of a team’s defensive capabilities, since it means that it gives the opposing team very little goal scoring chances throughout a match. Morelia gets to this event with 1.17 expected goals against, so we will see how their performance reflects just that.

Venados is a team where not everything is working perfectly. The team gets to this match with 1.17 goals conceded on average, against 1.3 xGA. What kind of defensive performance will we see today?

Predictions

If you are looking for the prediction for Morelia vs Venados, we have got your back. We have already gone over all of the statistical points that we think are relevant for this match, and now comes the moment of the truth - the betting tips.

APWin’s team of analysts has gone over the statistics of both teams so far in the competition, we have gone over what has been happening around the Ascenso MX and out of the pitch on both teams and their stars and are pretty confident with our preview for this match.

As such, you can find below our betting tip for the match Morelia vs Venados, for the matchday 4 of the Ascenso MX, taking place on the 27th of January at 01:00.