28.04.2024 - 15:30
Stadium : MEWA ARENA (Mainz)
Finished
The Germany Bundesliga is back on 28th of April at 15:30 with Mainz 05 hosting Köln and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Mainz 05 vs Köln. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Mainz 05 hasn’t lost in its last 5 matches
🔥 Köln has conceded at least a goal in its last 10 matches
🔥 The past 3 matches between Mainz 05 and Köln have ended with under 9.5 Corners
🔥 Mainz 05 hasn’t lost any of its past 3 matches against Köln
🔥 Mainz 05 and Köln average 2.47 goals scored per match
Mainz 05 | Köln | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Standings | 17 |
| 1.03 | Goal Scored | 0.77 |
| 1.6 | Goals Conceded | 1.77 |
| 43% | % Over 2.5 | 33% |
| 57% | % BTTS | 50% |
| 1.4 | xG | 1.3 |
| 1.27 | xGA | 1.56 |
Mainz 05 | Köln | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Standings | 15 |
| 1.27 | Goal Scored | 0.73 |
| 1.13 | Goals Conceded | 1.8 |
| 43% | % Over 2.5 | 33% |
| 47% | % BTTS | 53% |
| 1.54 | xG | 1.13 |
| 1.08 | xGA | 1.71 |
Mainz 05 averages 1.03 goals scored per match in this season’s Bundesliga. The home team has scored 31 times in the 30 matches played so far this year for this competition. Mainz 05 is, as such, the 15th best attack in this season of the Bundesliga.
The 18th best attack of the Bundesliga has scored 23 goals in 30 matches played so far this season. Köln averages, as such, 0.77 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 30 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against The 05ers 48 times. This means that Mainz 05 is the 7th best defence in this season’s Bundesliga.
In the 30 matches it has played in the Bundesliga, Köln has conceded 53 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1.77 goals per match, making it the 13th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Mainz 05 has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 43% of the matches it played so far in the Bundesliga this season.
Die Lilien has, until today, finished 33% of the matches of this season’s Bundesliga with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 10 matches out of 30, compared with the league average of 61%.
Out of the 30 matches that The 05ers has taken part in this season, 17 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Köln, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 15 occasions out of the 30 times it played for the Bundesliga this season.
We mentioned earlier that Mainz 05 averages 1.03 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.4 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Die Lilien is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.3 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.27 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.56 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Köln wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Mainz 05 vs Köln.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Mainz 05 vs Köln, for the matchday 31 of the Bundesliga.
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