03.11.2022 - 01:00
Stadium : Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
Finished
The Mexico Ascenso MX is back on 3rd of November at 01:00 with Leones Negros hosting Atlante and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Leones Negros vs Atlante. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Atlante has had Over 2.5 Goals in its last 5 matches
🔥 Atlante has had Over 1.5 HT Goals in its last 3 matches
🔥 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has conceded at least a goal in its last 6 matches against Atlante
🔥 Atlante hasn’t lost any of its past 3 matches against Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
🔥 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and Atlante average 2.58 goals scored per match
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Standings | 2 |
| 1.53 | Goal Scored | 2 |
| 0.79 | Goals Conceded | 0.84 |
| 67% | % Over 2.5 | 70% |
| 21% | % BTTS | 63% |
| 1.42 | xG | 1.74 |
| 1.38 | xGA | 0.93 |
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Standings | 2 |
| 2 | Goal Scored | 1.9 |
| 0.67 | Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
| 67% | % Over 2.5 | 70% |
| 22% | % BTTS | 80% |
| 1.59 | xG | 1.42 |
| 1.43 | xGA | 1.12 |
Leones Negros averages 1.53 goals scored per match in this season’s Ascenso MX. The home team has scored 29 times in the 19 matches played so far this year for this competition. Leones Negros is, as such, the 4th best attack in this season of the Ascenso MX.
The 1st best attack of the Ascenso MX has scored 38 goals in 18 matches played so far this season. Atlante averages, as such, 2 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 19 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Leones Negros 15 times. This means that Leones Negros is the 2nd best defence in this season’s Ascenso MX.
In the 18 matches it has played in the Ascenso MX, Atlante has conceded 16 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 0.84 goals per match, making it the 3rd team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Leones Negros has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 67% of the matches it played so far in the Ascenso MX this season.
Atlante has, until today, finished 70% of the matches of this season’s Ascenso MX with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 13 matches out of 18, compared with the league average of 46%.
Out of the 19 matches that Leones Negros has taken part in this season, 4 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Atlante, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 10.98 occasions out of the 18 times it played for the Ascenso MX this season.
We mentioned earlier that Leones Negros averages 1.53 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.42 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Atlante is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.74 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.38 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 0.93 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Atlante wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Leones Negros vs Atlante.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Leones Negros vs Atlante, for the matchday 20 of the Ascenso MX.
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