01.04.2023 - 21:10
Stadium : Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)
Finished
The Colombia Categoria Primera A is back on 1st of April at 21:10 with Independiente Medellín hosting Deportes Tolima and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Independiente Medellín has had Under 2.5 Goals in its last 3 matches
🔥 Deportes Tolima has had Under 9.5 Corners in its last 5 matches
🔥 The past 11 matches between Independiente Medellín and Deportes Tolima have ended with under 9.5 Corners
🔥 Independiente Medellín has conceded at least a goal in its last 4 matches against Deportes Tolima
🔥 Independiente Medellín and Deportes Tolima average 2.08 goals scored per match
Independiente Medellín | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Standings | 7 |
| 1 | Goal Scored | 1.2 |
| 1 | Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 30% | % Over 2.5 | 40% |
| 50% | % BTTS | 80% |
| 1.46 | xG | 1.91 |
| 1.35 | xGA | 1.46 |
Independiente Medellín | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Standings | 11 |
| 1.25 | Goal Scored | 1 |
| 0.5 | Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 30% | % Over 2.5 | 40% |
| 25% | % BTTS | 80% |
| 1.6 | xG | 1.68 |
| 0.97 | xGA | 1.73 |
Independiente Medellín averages 1 goals scored per match in this season’s Categoria Primera A. The home team has scored 10 times in the 10 matches played so far this year for this competition. Independiente Medellín is, as such, the 13th best attack in this season of the Categoria Primera A.
The 6th best attack of the Categoria Primera A has scored 11 goals in 9 matches played so far this season. Deportes Tolima averages, as such, 1.22 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 10 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Independiente Medellín 10 times. This means that Independiente Medellín is the 8th best defence in this season’s Categoria Primera A.
In the 9 matches it has played in the Categoria Primera A, Deportes Tolima has conceded 11 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1.22 goals per match, making it the 16th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Independiente Medellín has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 30% of the matches it played so far in the Categoria Primera A this season.
Tolima has, until today, finished 44% of the matches of this season’s Categoria Primera A with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 4 matches out of 9, compared with the league average of 36%.
Out of the 10 matches that Independiente Medellín has taken part in this season, 5 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Deportes Tolima, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 7.02 occasions out of the 9 times it played for the Categoria Primera A this season.
We mentioned earlier that Independiente Medellín averages 1 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.46 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Tolima is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.84 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.35 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.55 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Deportes Tolima wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Independiente Medellín vs Deportes Tolima, for the matchday 11 of the Categoria Primera A.
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