Predictions for Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional

Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional Betting Tips: 21/04/2024 - Matchday 18 - Colombia Categoria Primera A

The Colombia Categoria Primera A is back on 21st of April at 23:20 with Independiente Medellín hosting Atlético Nacional and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.

🔥 Independiente Medellín has had Under 9.5 Corners in its last 4 matches

🔥 Independiente Medellín hasn’t lost in its last 3 matches

🔥 The past 3 matches between Independiente Medellín and Atlético Nacional have ended with over 2.5 goals

🔥 Independiente Medellín has won the last 4 matches against Atlético Nacional

🔥 Independiente Medellín and Atlético Nacional average 2.11 goals scored per match

Independiente Medellín		Atlético Nacional
9	Standings	13
1.12	Goal Scored	0.94
1.71	Goals Conceded	1
59%	% Over 2.5	35%
47%	% BTTS	35%
1.3	xG	1.56
1.23	xGA	1.16

Independiente Medellín		Atlético Nacional
7	Standings	10
1.11	Goal Scored	0.89
1	Goals Conceded	1.22
59%	% Over 2.5	35%
44%	% BTTS	33%
1.35	xG	1.36
1.17	xGA	1.34

Independiente Medellín - Previous Results

Overall
Home

Atlético Nacional - Previous Results

Overall
Away

Summary

Goal Scored

Independiente Medellín averages 1.12 goals scored per match in this season’s Categoria Primera A. The home team has scored 19 times in the 17 matches played so far this year for this competition. Independiente Medellín is, as such, the 11th best attack in this season of the Categoria Primera A.

The 14th best attack of the Categoria Primera A has scored 16 goals in 17 matches played so far this season. Atlético Nacional averages, as such, 0.94 goals scored per match so far this season.

Goals Conceded

In the 17 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against El Rojo Paisa 29 times. This means that Independiente Medellín is the 19th best defence in this season’s Categoria Primera A.

In the 17 matches it has played in the Categoria Primera A, Atlético Nacional has conceded 17 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1 goals per match, making it the 7th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.

% Over 2.5

Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Independiente Medellín has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 59% of the matches it played so far in the Categoria Primera A this season.

Atlético Nacional has, until today, finished 35% of the matches of this season’s Categoria Primera A with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 6 matches out of 17, compared with the league average of 38%.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Out of the 17 matches that El Decano has taken part in this season, 8 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?

Atlético Nacional, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 5.95 occasions out of the 17 times it played for the Categoria Primera A this season.

Expected Goals (xG)

We mentioned earlier that Independiente Medellín averages 1.12 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.3 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.

Atlético Nacional is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.56 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.

Expected Goals Against (xGA)

The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.23 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.

The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.16 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Atlético Nacional wants all 3 points.

Predictions

We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional.

We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.

So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional, for the matchday 18 of the Categoria Primera A.