30.03.2024 - 19:45
Stadium : Stadio Artemio Franchi (Firenze)
Finished
The Italy Serie A is back on 30th of March at 19:45 with Fiorentina hosting Milan and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for Fiorentina vs Milan. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Fiorentina has had Under 1.5 HT Goals in its last 5 matches
🔥 Fiorentina hasn’t lost in its last 4 matches
🔥 The past 3 matches between Fiorentina and Milan have ended with over 9.5 Corners
🔥 Fiorentina has conceded at least a goal in its last 10 matches against Milan
🔥 Fiorentina and Milan average 3.37 goals scored per match
Fiorentina | Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Standings | 2 |
| 1.46 | Goal Scored | 1.9 |
| 1.14 | Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 46% | % Over 2.5 | 59% |
| 46% | % BTTS | 55% |
| 1.52 | xG | 1.52 |
| 1.15 | xGA | 1.29 |
Fiorentina | Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Standings | 2 |
| 1.86 | Goal Scored | 2.13 |
| 1.07 | Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 46% | % Over 2.5 | 59% |
| 50% | % BTTS | 73% |
| 1.65 | xG | 1.51 |
| 1.06 | xGA | 1.34 |
Fiorentina averages 1.46 goals scored per match in this season’s Serie A. The home team has scored 41 times in the 28 matches played so far this year for this competition. Fiorentina is, as such, the 7th best attack in this season of the Serie A.
The 3rd best attack of the Serie A has scored 55 goals in 29 matches played so far this season. Milan averages, as such, 1.9 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 28 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against Fiorentina 32 times. This means that Fiorentina is the 8th best defence in this season’s Serie A.
In the 29 matches it has played in the Serie A, Milan has conceded 33 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1.14 goals per match, making it the 9th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? Fiorentina has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 46% of the matches it played so far in the Serie A this season.
Milan has, until today, finished 59% of the matches of this season’s Serie A with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 17 matches out of 29, compared with the league average of 49%.
Out of the 28 matches that Fiorentina has taken part in this season, 13 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Milan, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 15.95 occasions out of the 29 times it played for the Serie A this season.
We mentioned earlier that Fiorentina averages 1.46 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.52 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Milan is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.52 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.15 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.29 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Milan wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for Fiorentina vs Milan.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for Fiorentina vs Milan, for the matchday 30 of the Serie A.
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