16.03.2024 - 14:00
Stadium : Estádio Municipal 25 de Abril (Penafiel)
Finished
The Portugal LigaPro is back on 16th of March at 14:00 with FC Penafiel hosting Benfica II and we have some predictions for the match. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed both of the team’s and their recent matches in order to come up with the best betting tips for FC Penafiel vs Benfica II. So, if you decide to follow our betting tip, let’s hope we can all win with this match.
🔥 Benfica II has had Under 1.5 HT Goals in its last 3 matches
🔥 FC Penafiel has conceded at least a goal in its last 6 matches against Benfica II
🔥 FC Penafiel and Benfica II average 2.71 goals scored per match
FC Penafiel | Benfica II | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Standings | 11 |
| 0.84 | Goal Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.2 | Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 36% | % Over 2.5 | 48% |
| 36% | % BTTS | 64% |
| 1.38 | xG | 1.46 |
| 1.4 | xGA | 1.29 |
FC Penafiel | Benfica II | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Standings | 10 |
| 1.25 | Goal Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.17 | Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 36% | % Over 2.5 | 48% |
| 50% | % BTTS | 75% |
| 1.49 | xG | 1.44 |
| 1.23 | xGA | 1.36 |
FC Penafiel averages 0.84 goals scored per match in this season’s LigaPro. The home team has scored 21 times in the 25 matches played so far this year for this competition. FC Penafiel is, as such, the 16th best attack in this season of the LigaPro.
The 9th best attack of the LigaPro has scored 33 goals in 25 matches played so far this season. Benfica II averages, as such, 1.32 goals scored per match so far this season.
In the 25 matches it has played so far this season, opponents managed to score against FC Penafiel 30 times. This means that FC Penafiel is the 9th best defence in this season’s LigaPro.
In the 25 matches it has played in the LigaPro, Benfica II has conceded 33 goals. This means that the team conceded, on average, 1.32 goals per match, making it the 12th team in terms of defensive ability in the competition.
Is there maybe an opportunity for a bet in the Over 2.5 Goals market? FC Penafiel has finished with 3 or more goals, scored or conceded in 36% of the matches it played so far in the LigaPro this season.
Benfica II has, until today, finished 48% of the matches of this season’s LigaPro with 3 or more goals (scored and conceded). That is 12 matches out of 25, compared with the league average of 45%.
Out of the 25 matches that FC Penafiel has taken part in this season, 9 of them finished with Both Teams Scoring. Will we see one more match with a tendency for goals?
Benfica II, on the other hand, has both scored and conceded in the same 90’ on 16 occasions out of the 25 times it played for the LigaPro this season.
We mentioned earlier that FC Penafiel averages 0.84 goals scored per match so far in this season’s competition. It is also important to note that the home team has an average of 1.38 expected goals per match, which means that it is expected to create some goal scoring opportunities in today’s match.
Benfica II is one of the most dangerous teams when it comes to taking advantage of goal scoring chances. They have 1.46 expected goals per match so far in the competition, and will be looking to make some damage in the opposition’s defence this time around.
The hosts of today’s match have a few strong points in the backline and have shown us some good defensive moments so far this season. The team averages 1.4 xGA so far this season, and will be motivated to show us that it is solid at the back.
The visitors need to keep their goal safe if they want to win all 3 points. So the xGA season average of 1.29 will need to be kept as close to 0 as possible for today’s match if Benfica II wants all 3 points.
We won’t always be 100% correct on your betting tips, but are pretty confident in our preview after seeing what the data from both teams presents us. Both teams have some positive and negative points so far, and so we are ready with the prediction for FC Penafiel vs Benfica II.
We make an effort to only suggest what we think has positive value, and this is one of those betting tips. A bet with positive value is a bet with a probability of happening higher than what the bookmakers are assuming.
So, and without going any further, you can find our betting tip for FC Penafiel vs Benfica II, for the matchday 26 of the LigaPro.
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