Predictions for Excursionistas vs Deportivo Merlo

Excursionistas vs Deportivo Merlo Betting Tips: 27/04/2024 - Matchday 14 - Argentina Prim B Metro

Excursionistas vs Deportivo Merlo happens on the 27th of April at 00:10 and we have prepared a betting tip for this match in the Argentina Prim B Metro. APWin’s team of analysts has analysed the qualitative and quantitative data and come up with the prediction for Excursionistas vs Deportivo Merlo. If you decide to follow our betting tip, good luck! And remember, if you are looking for more betting tips, we have you covered!

🔥 Excursionistas hasn’t lost in its last 5 matches

🔥 Excursionistas has had Over 2.5 Goals in its last 3 matches

🔥 The past 4 matches between Excursionistas and Deportivo Merlo have ended with over 2.5 goals

🔥 The past 3 matches between Excursionistas and Deportivo Merlo have ended with over 9.5 Corners

🔥 Excursionistas and Deportivo Merlo average 1.98 goals scored per match

Excursionistas		Deportivo Merlo
4	Standings	12
1.38	Goal Scored	0.85
0.85	Goals Conceded	0.77
54%	% Over 2.5	23%
54%	% BTTS	31%
1.34	xG	1.3
1.02	xGA	1.22

Excursionistas		Deportivo Merlo
10	Standings	11
1.29	Goal Scored	0.67
1	Goals Conceded	1
54%	% Over 2.5	23%
71%	% BTTS	17%
1.49	xG	1.18
0.94	xGA	1.2

Excursionistas - Previous Results

Overall
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Deportivo Merlo - Previous Results

Overall
Away

Summary

Goal Scored

The home team is the 3rd best attack in the Prim B Metro. Excursionistas has found the back of the opposition’s net 18 times in the 13 times it entered the pitch so far this season, which averages 1.38 goals scored per match.

Only time will tell, but so far, Deportivo Merlo has averaged 0.85 goals scored per match in this season of the Prim B Metro. The team has gotten 11 goals in 13 matches so far this season, making it the 15th best attacking team in this competition.

Goals Conceded

Averaging 0.85 goals conceded per match, Excursionistas has conceded 11 times in the 13 matches played so far this season of the Prim B Metro. This makes this match’s home team the 7th defence in the competition.

With 10 goals conceded in the 13 matches it played in the Prim B Metro, Deportivo Merlo is the 6th best defence in the competition, since it averages 0.77 goals conceded per match.

% Over 2.5

In the 13 matches it played this season, Excursionistas has ended with 3 or more match goals (scored and conceded combined) in 54% of the times, so 7 of those matches.

The Prim B Metro averages 36% of its matches with 3 or more goals scored. Deportivo Merlo visits Excursionistas having finished 23% of its matches with 3+ goals. Do you think this is worth exploring?

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

In a BTTS bet, as long as both teams find the back of the net at least once, we will be in profit. In 54% of matches the home team has taken part in this season, it has both scored and conceded in the same match. Is there maybe an opportunity for BTTS on Excursionistas?

If we look at Deportivo Merlo’s statistics so far this season in the BTTS market we will see that our of all the matches it has played in the competition, that 31% of them have ended with a BTTS.

Expected Goals (xG)

It is no question that Excursionistas’s attack has raised some eyebrows so far this season, and no surprise as well that the home team arrives to this match with 1.34 expected goals per match in the Prim B Metro.

Only once the match ends can we come up with our conclusions, but before it starts we can definitely look at the away team’s 1.3 expected goals on average per match and take that into account before placing a bet.

Expected Goals Against (xGA)

A low xGA is a good measure of a team’s defensive capabilities, since it means that it gives the opposing team very little goal scoring chances throughout a match. Excursionistas gets to this event with 1.02 expected goals against, so we will see how their performance reflects just that.

Deportivo Merlo is a team where not everything is working perfectly. The team gets to this match with 0.77 goals conceded on average, against 1.22 xGA. What kind of defensive performance will we see today?

Predictions

If you are looking for the prediction for Excursionistas vs Deportivo Merlo, we have got your back. We have already gone over all of the statistical points that we think are relevant for this match, and now comes the moment of the truth - the betting tips.

APWin’s team of analysts has gone over the statistics of both teams so far in the competition, we have gone over what has been happening around the Prim B Metro and out of the pitch on both teams and their stars and are pretty confident with our preview for this match.

As such, you can find below our betting tip for the match Excursionistas vs Deportivo Merlo, for the matchday 14 of the Prim B Metro, taking place on the 27th of April at 00:10.